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icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·ミシガン州予備選挙

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·ミシガン州予備選挙

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 80%

William Lawrence 15%

Matt Maasdam 3.9%

Muhammad Salman Rais 3.1%

Polymarket

$16,252 Vol.

Bridget Brink 80%

William Lawrence 15%

Matt Maasdam 3.9%

Muhammad Salman Rais 3.1%

Polymarket

$16,252 Vol.

Bridget Brink

$5,024 Vol.

80%

William Lawrence

$7,296 Vol.

15%

Matt Maasdam

$879 Vol.

4%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$661 Vol.

3%

Josh Cowen

$894 Vol.

2%

Elyon Badger

$687 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Prieditis

$811 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Michigan 7th District Democratic primary due to her extensive foreign service background as former ambassador to Ukraine and Slovakia, combined with institutional endorsements from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and former state House Speaker Joe Tate. William Lawrence trails at 15.5% as the leading progressive option, backed by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna, though his support has not narrowed the gap despite the May endorsement. Matt Maasdam sits at 4.7% with limited traction. Josh Cowen’s earlier withdrawal and endorsement of Brink further consolidated support in this open-seat contest ahead of the August 4 primary, leaving scant room for late shifts by the remaining candidates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$16,252
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Michigan 7th District Democratic primary due to her extensive foreign service background as former ambassador to Ukraine and Slovakia, combined with institutional endorsements from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and former state House Speaker Joe Tate. William Lawrence trails at 15.5% as the leading progressive option, backed by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna, though his support has not narrowed the gap despite the May endorsement. Matt Maasdam sits at 4.7% with limited traction. Josh Cowen’s earlier withdrawal and endorsement of Brink further consolidated support in this open-seat contest ahead of the August 4 primary, leaving scant room for late shifts by the remaining candidates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$16,252
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Bridget Brink」で80%、次いで「William Lawrence」が15%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、80¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に80%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」は$16.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Bridget Brink」で80%であり、市場がこの結果に80%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「William Lawrence」で15%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。