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icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·ミシガン州予備選挙

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
政治·ミシガン州予備選挙

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 52%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.4%

Alexandra Prieditis 3.7%

Polymarket
新規

Bridget Brink 52%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.4%

Alexandra Prieditis 3.7%

Polymarket
新規

Bridget Brink

$1,332 Vol.

52%

William Lawrence

$4,956 Vol.

44%

Matt Maasdam

$655 Vol.

5%

Alexandra Prieditis

$698 Vol.

4%

Elyon Badger

$631 Vol.

3%

Josh Cowen

$844 Vol.

2%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$602 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink at 51% over progressive organizer William Lawrence at 44% in Michigan's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting her dominant Q1 fundraising ($2.25 million raised, $1.29 million cash on hand) and establishment endorsements like the Michigan Education Association, contrasting Lawrence's grassroots strength shown in recent polls (e.g., April Data for Progress: Lawrence 20%, Brink 14%). Fresh endorsements from Reps. Rashida Tlaib (May 13) and Ro Khanna (May 14) have fueled Lawrence's surge among progressives, keeping the race tight amid high early undecideds and a moderate-progressive ideological divide. Upcoming Q2 FEC reports and debates could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,718
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink at 51% over progressive organizer William Lawrence at 44% in Michigan's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting her dominant Q1 fundraising ($2.25 million raised, $1.29 million cash on hand) and establishment endorsements like the Michigan Education Association, contrasting Lawrence's grassroots strength shown in recent polls (e.g., April Data for Progress: Lawrence 20%, Brink 14%). Fresh endorsements from Reps. Rashida Tlaib (May 13) and Ro Khanna (May 14) have fueled Lawrence's surge among progressives, keeping the race tight amid high early undecideds and a moderate-progressive ideological divide. Upcoming Q2 FEC reports and debates could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,718
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Bridget Brink」で52%、次いで「William Lawrence」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 23, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Bridget Brink」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「William Lawrence」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。