In the open race to replace Rep. John James in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 60.5% implied probability, propelled by his Q1 fundraising haul of $425,000—announced last week—and recent endorsements from groups like With Honor Fund, bolstering his early poll leads such as OnMessage (37%) and Strategic National (29%). Steven Elliott trails at 33.1%, buoyed by his Marine veteran credentials and business leadership appealing to GOP primary voters ahead of the August 4 open primary. Robert Lulgjuraj's initial $1 million raise has cooled to 22.9% amid Bouchard's surge, while lower-tier candidates like Casey Armitage and Justin Kirk lag with minimal momentum. Filing deadline looms April 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マイク・ブシャール 51%
スティーブン・エリオット 33.1%
ロバート・ルルジュラジ 30.9%
ケイシー・アーミテージ 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
マイク・ブシャール
61%
スティーブン・エリオット
33%
ロバート・ルルジュラジ
22%
ケイシー・アーミテージ
6%
ジャスティン・カーク
<1%
マイク・ブシャール 51%
スティーブン・エリオット 33.1%
ロバート・ルルジュラジ 30.9%
ケイシー・アーミテージ 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
マイク・ブシャール
$1,811 Vol.
61%
スティーブン・エリオット
$0 Vol.
33%
ロバート・ルルジュラジ
$0 Vol.
22%
ケイシー・アーミテージ
$0 Vol.
6%
ジャスティン・カーク
$808 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open race to replace Rep. John James in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 60.5% implied probability, propelled by his Q1 fundraising haul of $425,000—announced last week—and recent endorsements from groups like With Honor Fund, bolstering his early poll leads such as OnMessage (37%) and Strategic National (29%). Steven Elliott trails at 33.1%, buoyed by his Marine veteran credentials and business leadership appealing to GOP primary voters ahead of the August 4 open primary. Robert Lulgjuraj's initial $1 million raise has cooled to 22.9% amid Bouchard's surge, while lower-tier candidates like Casey Armitage and Justin Kirk lag with minimal momentum. Filing deadline looms April 21.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET
音量
$2,619終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open race to replace Rep. John James in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 60.5% implied probability, propelled by his Q1 fundraising haul of $425,000—announced last week—and recent endorsements from groups like With Honor Fund, bolstering his early poll leads such as OnMessage (37%) and Strategic National (29%). Steven Elliott trails at 33.1%, buoyed by his Marine veteran credentials and business leadership appealing to GOP primary voters ahead of the August 4 open primary. Robert Lulgjuraj's initial $1 million raise has cooled to 22.9% amid Bouchard's surge, while lower-tier candidates like Casey Armitage and Justin Kirk lag with minimal momentum. Filing deadline looms April 21.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$2,619終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open race to replace Rep. John James in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 60.5% implied probability, propelled by his Q1 fundraising haul of $425,000—announced last week—and recent endorsements from groups like With Honor Fund, bolstering his early poll leads such as OnMessage (37%) and Strategic National (29%). Steven Elliott trails at 33.1%, buoyed by his Marine veteran credentials and business leadership appealing to GOP primary voters ahead of the August 4 open primary. Robert Lulgjuraj's initial $1 million raise has cooled to 22.9% amid Bouchard's surge, while lower-tier candidates like Casey Armitage and Justin Kirk lag with minimal momentum. Filing deadline looms April 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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