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選挙·共和党予備選挙

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
選挙·共和党予備選挙

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 39%

Dan Bilzerian 38%

Alexandra Van Cleef 23%

Aaron Baker 14%

Polymarket
新規

Randy Fine 39%

Dan Bilzerian 38%

Alexandra Van Cleef 23%

Aaron Baker 14%

Polymarket
新規

Randy Fine

$153 Vol.

39%

Dan Bilzerian

$89 Vol.

38%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$141 Vol.

23%

Aaron Baker

$99 Vol.

14%

Joshua Vasquez

$92 Vol.

3%

Charles Gambaro

$70 Vol.

1%

Ernest Audino

$70 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine holds a slim trader consensus lead over challenger Dan Bilzerian in the FL-06 Republican primary, reflecting Bilzerian's high-profile candidacy filing in early April that has energized outsider support through his social media fame and provocative announcements targeting Fine. Fine benefits from incumbency after winning the 2025 special election, prior Trump endorsement, and strong fundraising, but lacks recent polling to solidify dominance in this safely Republican district stretching from Daytona Beach to Ocala. The tight race underscores GOP tensions between establishment experience and celebrity appeal; separation could come from major endorsements like Trump or DeSantis, Q1 FEC reports due soon, or early primary endorsements from local party leaders ahead of the August 18 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$716
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine holds a slim trader consensus lead over challenger Dan Bilzerian in the FL-06 Republican primary, reflecting Bilzerian's high-profile candidacy filing in early April that has energized outsider support through his social media fame and provocative announcements targeting Fine. Fine benefits from incumbency after winning the 2025 special election, prior Trump endorsement, and strong fundraising, but lacks recent polling to solidify dominance in this safely Republican district stretching from Daytona Beach to Ocala. The tight race underscores GOP tensions between establishment experience and celebrity appeal; separation could come from major endorsements like Trump or DeSantis, Q1 FEC reports due soon, or early primary endorsements from local party leaders ahead of the August 18 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$716
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Randy Fine」で40%、次いで「Dan Bilzerian」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、40¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に40%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 13, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Randy Fine」で40%であり、市場がこの結果に40%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Dan Bilzerian」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL-06 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。