Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands an 85% implied probability in the FL-06 Republican primary trader consensus, bolstered by his fundraising dominance—leading challengers as of mid-April—and prior Trump endorsement from the 2025 special election win, alongside Freedom Caucus membership appealing to base voters. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's April entry, criticizing Fine's pro-Israel stance and foreign aid ties, has elevated his odds to 9% via celebrity buzz and America First messaging, though his Las Vegas residency and the district's older median age (48+) limit appeal amid low primary turnout. Grassroots challenger Aaron Baker holds 6% by splitting anti-Fine votes locally, with the August 18 primary hinging on voter mobilization in this Republican stronghold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランディ・ファイン 86%
アーロン・ベイカー 32.0%
ダン・ビルゼリアン 8.8%
チャールズ・ガンバロ <1%
$148,106 Vol.
$148,106 Vol.
ランディ・ファイン
86%
アーロン・ベイカー
32%
ダン・ビルゼリアン
9%
チャールズ・ガンバロ
<1%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ
<1%
ジョシュア・バスケス
<1%
アーネスト・オーディノ
<1%
ランディ・ファイン 86%
アーロン・ベイカー 32.0%
ダン・ビルゼリアン 8.8%
チャールズ・ガンバロ <1%
$148,106 Vol.
$148,106 Vol.
ランディ・ファイン
86%
アーロン・ベイカー
32%
ダン・ビルゼリアン
9%
チャールズ・ガンバロ
<1%
アレクサンドラ・ヴァン・クリーフ
<1%
ジョシュア・バスケス
<1%
アーネスト・オーディノ
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands an 85% implied probability in the FL-06 Republican primary trader consensus, bolstered by his fundraising dominance—leading challengers as of mid-April—and prior Trump endorsement from the 2025 special election win, alongside Freedom Caucus membership appealing to base voters. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's April entry, criticizing Fine's pro-Israel stance and foreign aid ties, has elevated his odds to 9% via celebrity buzz and America First messaging, though his Las Vegas residency and the district's older median age (48+) limit appeal amid low primary turnout. Grassroots challenger Aaron Baker holds 6% by splitting anti-Fine votes locally, with the August 18 primary hinging on voter mobilization in this Republican stronghold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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