Tom Sell's near-certain trader consensus in the TX-19 Republican primary—reflecting an implied 98.8% probability of securing the nomination—stems from his dominant 40% in the March 3 first-round balloting, where he outpaced Abraham Enriquez and consolidated endorsements from local agriculture groups like Texas Corn Producers Association, business PACs such as U.S. Chamber of Commerce and 806 Advantage, and former primary rivals. Recent PAC ad buys exceeding $90,000 supporting Sell, a May 12 West Texas farmer endorsement citing Day One readiness, and head-to-head debates highlighting his fifth-generation local roots versus Enriquez's national focus have further solidified positioning ahead of early voting starting May 18. In this safe Republican district succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington, a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or Sell gaffe could narrow odds before the May 26 runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日トム・セル 98.8%
エイブラハム・エンリケス <1%
マシュー・スミス <1%
ライアン・ジンク <1%
$72,806 Vol.
$72,806 Vol.
トム・セル
99%
エイブラハム・エンリケス
1%
マシュー・スミス
<1%
ライアン・ジンク
<1%
ジェイソン・コーリー
<1%
ドナルド・メイ
<1%
ジェームズ・バービー
<1%
トム・セル 98.8%
エイブラハム・エンリケス <1%
マシュー・スミス <1%
ライアン・ジンク <1%
$72,806 Vol.
$72,806 Vol.
トム・セル
99%
エイブラハム・エンリケス
1%
マシュー・スミス
<1%
ライアン・ジンク
<1%
ジェイソン・コーリー
<1%
ドナルド・メイ
<1%
ジェームズ・バービー
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell's near-certain trader consensus in the TX-19 Republican primary—reflecting an implied 98.8% probability of securing the nomination—stems from his dominant 40% in the March 3 first-round balloting, where he outpaced Abraham Enriquez and consolidated endorsements from local agriculture groups like Texas Corn Producers Association, business PACs such as U.S. Chamber of Commerce and 806 Advantage, and former primary rivals. Recent PAC ad buys exceeding $90,000 supporting Sell, a May 12 West Texas farmer endorsement citing Day One readiness, and head-to-head debates highlighting his fifth-generation local roots versus Enriquez's national focus have further solidified positioning ahead of early voting starting May 18. In this safe Republican district succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington, a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or Sell gaffe could narrow odds before the May 26 runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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