Christine Drazan holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by her name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly defeated the Democrat and fundraising parity with Chris Dudley at around $1.5 million cash on hand each, contrasting Ed Diehl's $156,000. A mid-March non-probability online poll of self-selected Republicans showed Diehl dominating at 66%, boosting his 40.5% implied probability, but markets remain cautious amid methodological concerns and his lower resources for pre-ballot advertising. Recent interviews spotlighted infrastructure and education priorities, while a March 31 Salem debate saw Diehl and Dudley decline, underscoring field fragmentation; new polls, endorsements, or ad blitzes post-April ballot mailing could tip the closely contested race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日クリスティーン・ドラザン 45%
エド・ディール 40%
クリス・ダドリー 14%
ロバート・ノイマン 2.5%
$61,283 Vol.
$61,283 Vol.
クリスティーン・ドラザン
45%
エド・ディール
40%
クリス・ダドリー
14%
ロバート・ノイマン
2%
ダニエル・ベセル
2%
チェール・ソネン
<1%
ケイレブ・キンツ
<1%
カイル・ダイック
<1%
ブラッド・T・ピーターズ
<1%
デイビッド・メディナ
<1%
パトリック・コプケ＝ヘイルズ
<1%
クリスティーン・ドラザン 45%
エド・ディール 40%
クリス・ダドリー 14%
ロバート・ノイマン 2.5%
$61,283 Vol.
$61,283 Vol.
クリスティーン・ドラザン
45%
エド・ディール
40%
クリス・ダドリー
14%
ロバート・ノイマン
2%
ダニエル・ベセル
2%
チェール・ソネン
<1%
ケイレブ・キンツ
<1%
カイル・ダイック
<1%
ブラッド・T・ピーターズ
<1%
デイビッド・メディナ
<1%
パトリック・コプケ＝ヘイルズ
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christine Drazan holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by her name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly defeated the Democrat and fundraising parity with Chris Dudley at around $1.5 million cash on hand each, contrasting Ed Diehl's $156,000. A mid-March non-probability online poll of self-selected Republicans showed Diehl dominating at 66%, boosting his 40.5% implied probability, but markets remain cautious amid methodological concerns and his lower resources for pre-ballot advertising. Recent interviews spotlighted infrastructure and education priorities, while a March 31 Salem debate saw Diehl and Dudley decline, underscoring field fragmentation; new polls, endorsements, or ad blitzes post-April ballot mailing could tip the closely contested race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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