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選挙·上院予備選挙

サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選

Market icon
選挙·上院予備選挙

サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選

Mike Rounds 87%

Kristi Noem 5.8%

Justin McNeal 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Rounds 87%

Kristi Noem 5.8%

Justin McNeal 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Rounds

$2,948 Vol.

82%

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

6%

Justin McNeal

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds commands 90.5% trader consensus in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his early January reelection announcement, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.8 million, and lack of high-profile challengers as the March 31 filing deadline approaches. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 entry at 3.2% reflects minimal early momentum, while Kristi Noem's odds at 5.7% stem from unconfirmed speculation following her DHS role exit, with no formal declaration. Absent a last-minute Noem filing, scandal, or endorsement surge, Rounds' incumbency and 2020 primary dominance (75% win) present significant barriers to upset in this solidly Republican contest.

Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds commands 90.5% trader consensus in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his early January reelection announcement, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.8 million, and lack of high-profile challengers as the March 31 filing deadline approaches. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 entry at 3.2% reflects minimal early momentum, while Kristi Noem's odds at 5.7% stem from unconfirmed speculation following her DHS role exit, with no formal declaration. Absent a last-minute Noem filing, scandal, or endorsement surge, Rounds' incumbency and 2020 primary dominance (75% win) present significant barriers to upset in this solidly Republican contest.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds commands 90.5% trader consensus in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his early January reelection announcement, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.8 million, and lack of high-profile challengers as the March 31 filing deadline approaches. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 entry at 3.2% reflects minimal early momentum, while Kristi Noem's odds at 5.7% stem from unconfirmed speculation following her DHS role exit, with no formal declaration. Absent a last-minute Noem filing, scandal, or endorsement surge, Rounds' incumbency and 2020 primary dominance (75% win) present significant barriers to upset in this solidly Republican contest.

Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds commands 90.5% trader consensus in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his early January reelection announcement, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.8 million, and lack of high-profile challengers as the March 31 filing deadline approaches. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 entry at 3.2% reflects minimal early momentum, while Kristi Noem's odds at 5.7% stem from unconfirmed speculation following her DHS role exit, with no formal declaration. Absent a last-minute Noem filing, scandal, or endorsement surge, Rounds' incumbency and 2020 primary dominance (75% win) present significant barriers to upset in this solidly Republican contest.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Mike Rounds」で82%、次いで「Kristi Noem」が6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、82¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に82%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 25, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「Mike Rounds」で82%であり、市場がこの結果に82%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Kristi Noem」で6%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「サウスダコタ州共和党上院予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。