Market icon
政治·プライマリ

オハイオ州民主党上院予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

オハイオ州民主党上院予備選

シェロッド・ブラウン 96.0%

アリソン・ルッソ 1.5%

グレッグ・ランドスマン 1.5%

ティム・ライアン 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

シェロッド・ブラウン 96.0%

アリソン・ルッソ 1.5%

グレッグ・ランドスマン 1.5%

ティム・ライアン 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

シェロッド・ブラウン

$2,229 Vol.

96%

アリソン・ルッソ

$0 Vol.

2%

グレッグ・ランドスマン

$4,498 Vol.

1%

ティム・ライアン

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio.

If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$6,728
終了日
May 5, 2026
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Incumbent U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown's commanding 96% implied probability in the Ohio Democratic Senate primary reflects his entrenched party support, superior fundraising exceeding $20 million, and absence of credible challengers following the February filing deadline. Long-serving since 2007 with consistent primary victories, Brown faces only nominal opponents like state Rep. Allison Russo and Rep. Greg Landsman, who lack comparable resources or endorsements; former Rep. Tim Ryan, a 2022 nominee, shows no active campaign. Trader consensus underscores incumbency's historical edge in low-turnout primaries. Realistic challenges include a sudden scandal, health issue, or high-profile defection, though the March 19 primary timeline limits upheaval potential.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「オハイオ州民主党上院予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シェロッド・ブラウン」で96%、次いで「アリソン・ルッソ」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「オハイオ州民主党上院予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 2, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「オハイオ州民主党上院予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オハイオ州民主党上院予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「シェロッド・ブラウン」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アリソン・ルッソ」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オハイオ州民主党上院予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。