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バージニア州民主党上院予備選

Market icon

バージニア州民主党上院予備選

$16,849 Vol.

Polymarket

$16,849 Vol.

マーク・ワーナー

$9,444 Vol.

99%

ジェイソン・レイノルズ

$7,405 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mark Warner's commanding 99.1% implied probability in the Virginia Democratic Senate primary reflects his entrenched advantages as a three-term moderate with strong fundraising, high name recognition, and a track record of bipartisan appeal in a competitive state. Recent filings closed April 2 with no high-profile challengers emerging to Jason Reynolds, a low-profile progressive from Fredericksburg lacking prior elected experience, solidifying trader consensus on Warner ahead of the August 4 primary. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health issues, or a late surge by a well-funded insurgent, though historical incumbency success rates in safe primaries make such disruptions rare.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$16,849
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mark Warner's commanding 99.1% implied probability in the Virginia Democratic Senate primary reflects his entrenched advantages as a three-term moderate with strong fundraising, high name recognition, and a track record of bipartisan appeal in a competitive state. Recent filings closed April 2 with no high-profile challengers emerging to Jason Reynolds, a low-profile progressive from Fredericksburg lacking prior elected experience, solidifying trader consensus on Warner ahead of the August 4 primary. While odds exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health issues, or a late surge by a well-funded insurgent, though historical incumbency success rates in safe primaries make such disruptions rare.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$16,849
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「バージニア州民主党上院予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マーク・ワーナー」で99%、次いで「ジェイソン・レイノルズ」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「バージニア州民主党上院予備選」は$16.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 2, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「バージニア州民主党上院予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「バージニア州民主党上院予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「マーク・ワーナー」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジェイソン・レイノルズ」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「バージニア州民主党上院予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。