Incumbent Senator Jim Risch commands 96.2% trader consensus in the Idaho Republican Senate primary due to his longstanding seniority, including chairmanship of the Senate Intelligence Committee, robust fundraising exceeding $2 million, and dominant polling leads—recent surveys show him ahead 65-20 over challenger Joe Evans, a former state representative with limited statewide name recognition. Idaho's conservative base favors experienced GOP leaders, reflected in Risch's endorsements from national Republican figures and low challenger momentum. Realistic challenges would require a late-breaking scandal, significant endorsement shifts like from Trump allies, or unexpected voter turnout surges, though none have materialized ahead of the May 21 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ジム・リッシュ
96%
ジョー・エバンズ
1%
ジム・リッシュ
96%
ジョー・エバンズ
1%
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Senator Jim Risch commands 96.2% trader consensus in the Idaho Republican Senate primary due to his longstanding seniority, including chairmanship of the Senate Intelligence Committee, robust fundraising exceeding $2 million, and dominant polling leads—recent surveys show him ahead 65-20 over challenger Joe Evans, a former state representative with limited statewide name recognition. Idaho's conservative base favors experienced GOP leaders, reflected in Risch's endorsements from national Republican figures and low challenger momentum. Realistic challenges would require a late-breaking scandal, significant endorsement shifts like from Trump allies, or unexpected voter turnout surges, though none have materialized ahead of the May 21 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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