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icon for TX -38共和党予備選
選挙·プライマリ

TX -38共和党予備選

icon for TX -38共和党予備選
選挙·プライマリ

TX -38共和党予備選

ジョン・ボンク 94.4%

バレット・マクナブ 15.6%

シェリー・デゼヴァロス 2.9%

ジェニファー・サント 1.3%

Polymarket

$38,870 Vol.

ジョン・ボンク 94.4%

バレット・マクナブ 15.6%

シェリー・デゼヴァロス 2.9%

ジェニファー・サント 1.3%

Polymarket

$38,870 Vol.

ジョン・ボンク

$18,040 Vol.

94%

バレット・マクナブ

$1,688 Vol.

16%

シェリー・デゼヴァロス

$3,299 Vol.

3%

ジェニファー・サント

$2,476 Vol.

1%

マイケル・プラット

$2,840 Vol.

1%

クレイグ・ゴラルスキー

$1,660 Vol.

1%

エイブリー・エイヤーズ

$2,470 Vol.

1%

カルメン・モンティエル

$1,583 Vol.

1%

ジェフ・ユナ

$2,557 Vol.

<1%

ラリー・ルービン

$2,255 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 primary among 10 candidates, well ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 18.6%, which advanced her as the challenger in this open seat vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Bonck's February Trump endorsement, backing from Ted Cruz and Speaker Mike Johnson, and superior fundraising—$1.4 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand versus deZevallos's $930,000—have solidified his frontrunner status, as affirmed by Cook Political Report rating him the heavy favorite. With early voting starting May 18, an upset would require a deZevallos debate surge, late GOP defection, scandal hitting Bonck, or turnout favoring her congressional and local endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$38,870
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 primary among 10 candidates, well ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 18.6%, which advanced her as the challenger in this open seat vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Bonck's February Trump endorsement, backing from Ted Cruz and Speaker Mike Johnson, and superior fundraising—$1.4 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand versus deZevallos's $930,000—have solidified his frontrunner status, as affirmed by Cook Political Report rating him the heavy favorite. With early voting starting May 18, an upset would require a deZevallos debate surge, late GOP defection, scandal hitting Bonck, or turnout favoring her congressional and local endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$38,870
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「TX -38共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョン・ボンク」で94%、次いで「バレット・マクナブ」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「TX -38共和党予備選」は$38.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「TX -38共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TX -38共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョン・ボンク」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「バレット・マクナブ」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TX -38共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。