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icon for TX -38共和党予備選
選挙·プライマリ

TX -38共和党予備選

icon for TX -38共和党予備選
選挙·プライマリ

TX -38共和党予備選

ジョン・ボンク 94.8%

シェリー・デゼヴァロス 1.4%

ジェニファー・サント 1.0%

ラリー・ルービン <1%

Polymarket

$39,184 Vol.

ジョン・ボンク 94.8%

シェリー・デゼヴァロス 1.4%

ジェニファー・サント 1.0%

ラリー・ルービン <1%

Polymarket

$39,184 Vol.

ジョン・ボンク

$18,124 Vol.

95%

シェリー・デゼヴァロス

$3,315 Vol.

1%

ジェニファー・サント

$2,492 Vol.

1%

ラリー・ルービン

$2,271 Vol.

1%

バレット・マクナブ

$1,703 Vol.

1%

ジェフ・ユナ

$2,662 Vol.

1%

カルメン・モンティエル

$1,599 Vol.

<1%

クレイグ・ゴラルスキー

$1,676 Vol.

<1%

マイケル・プラット

$2,856 Vol.

<1%

エイブリー・エイヤーズ

$2,486 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding position in the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 38th congressional district, reflecting his 47 percent share of the March 3 vote and endorsements from President Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. These factors, combined with his fundraising edge and established name recognition among primary voters, have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Shelly deZevallos, the second-place finisher with local political experience, trails significantly but could narrow the gap through targeted turnout efforts in the final days before the May 26 runoff. The outcome remains subject to standard variables in a low-turnout primary, including voter mobilization and any late shifts in campaign messaging.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$39,184
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding position in the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 38th congressional district, reflecting his 47 percent share of the March 3 vote and endorsements from President Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. These factors, combined with his fundraising edge and established name recognition among primary voters, have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Shelly deZevallos, the second-place finisher with local political experience, trails significantly but could narrow the gap through targeted turnout efforts in the final days before the May 26 runoff. The outcome remains subject to standard variables in a low-turnout primary, including voter mobilization and any late shifts in campaign messaging.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$39,184
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「TX -38共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョン・ボンク」で95%、次いで「シェリー・デゼヴァロス」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「TX -38共和党予備選」は$39.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「TX -38共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TX -38共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョン・ボンク」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シェリー・デゼヴァロス」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TX -38共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。