The June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez follows a first-round turnout of 73.81 percent amid Peru’s recent pattern of high but variable participation in presidential contests. Recent polling shows the candidates closely matched, with Fujimori holding modest leads in the low-to-mid 30s to 40 percent range, a dynamic that typically sustains mobilization among core supporters while limiting broad surges. Voter fatigue from prior instability, the compressed three-week campaign window after official candidate confirmation, and standard runoff dynamics—where abstention can rise without a decisive first-round outcome—anchor trader expectations near 70-80 percent. Developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote drives, late polling shifts, or weather or logistical issues on election day could narrow or widen the distribution between the leading brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日70–75% 39%
75–80% 38%
80–85% 6%
<70% 4.8%
$11,459 Vol.
$11,459 Vol.
<70%
5%
70–75%
39%
75–80%
38%
80–85%
6%
>85%
1%
70–75% 39%
75–80% 38%
80–85% 6%
<70% 4.8%
$11,459 Vol.
$11,459 Vol.
<70%
5%
70–75%
39%
75–80%
38%
80–85%
6%
>85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez follows a first-round turnout of 73.81 percent amid Peru’s recent pattern of high but variable participation in presidential contests. Recent polling shows the candidates closely matched, with Fujimori holding modest leads in the low-to-mid 30s to 40 percent range, a dynamic that typically sustains mobilization among core supporters while limiting broad surges. Voter fatigue from prior instability, the compressed three-week campaign window after official candidate confirmation, and standard runoff dynamics—where abstention can rise without a decisive first-round outcome—anchor trader expectations near 70-80 percent. Developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote drives, late polling shifts, or weather or logistical issues on election day could narrow or widen the distribution between the leading brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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