Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win in Missouri's deep-red 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent candidate filing closure on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field—Frank Barnitz, Gerald Cass, Clayton Harbison, and Christopher Reichard—with no high-profile contender, while Smith faces minor GOP primary challengers Gordon Heslop and Johnathon Tune. The district's rural conservative base and Smith's past double-digit victories reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or unexpected Democratic national tailwinds with heavy spending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,725 Vol.
$26,725 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$26,725 Vol.
$26,725 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$16,571 Vol.
94%
民主党
$10,155 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win in Missouri's deep-red 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent candidate filing closure on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field—Frank Barnitz, Gerald Cass, Clayton Harbison, and Christopher Reichard—with no high-profile contender, while Smith faces minor GOP primary challengers Gordon Heslop and Johnathon Tune. The district's rural conservative base and Smith's past double-digit victories reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or unexpected Democratic national tailwinds with heavy spending.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$26,725終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win in Missouri's deep-red 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent candidate filing closure on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field—Frank Barnitz, Gerald Cass, Clayton Harbison, and Christopher Reichard—with no high-profile contender, while Smith faces minor GOP primary challengers Gordon Heslop and Johnathon Tune. The district's rural conservative base and Smith's past double-digit victories reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or unexpected Democratic national tailwinds with heavy spending.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,725終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win in Missouri's deep-red 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent candidate filing closure on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field—Frank Barnitz, Gerald Cass, Clayton Harbison, and Christopher Reichard—with no high-profile contender, while Smith faces minor GOP primary challengers Gordon Heslop and Johnathon Tune. The district's rural conservative base and Smith's past double-digit victories reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or unexpected Democratic national tailwinds with heavy spending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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