Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$86,661 Vol.
$86,661 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$86,661 Vol.
$86,661 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$46,388 Vol.
94%
民主党
$40,273 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$86,661終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$86,661終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in 2002 and unopposed in 2024, faces a June 16 primary challenge from Wade Burleson, while Democratic primary candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson prepare for the November general. Historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and past turnout trends limit Democratic competitiveness in this western Oklahoma district encompassing Enid, Stillwater, and the Panhandle. An unexpected primary result or broader national shifts could introduce volatility, though structural barriers continue to shape current positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問