California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured renomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, while Republican write-in support remained negligible. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. This partisan composition and primary outcome drive trader consensus toward a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal of long-standing voting patterns in the San Francisco Bay Area district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,930 Vol.
$40,930 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$40,930 Vol.
$40,930 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$24,042 Vol.
95%
共和党
$16,887 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured renomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, while Republican write-in support remained negligible. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. This partisan composition and primary outcome drive trader consensus toward a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal of long-standing voting patterns in the San Francisco Bay Area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$40,930終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured renomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, while Republican write-in support remained negligible. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. This partisan composition and primary outcome drive trader consensus toward a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal of long-standing voting patterns in the San Francisco Bay Area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,930終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured renomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, while Republican write-in support remained negligible. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. This partisan composition and primary outcome drive trader consensus toward a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal of long-standing voting patterns in the San Francisco Bay Area district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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