Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek's structural advantages in solidly blue Oregon, including no Republican gubernatorial win since 1987 and her fundraising lead, anchor trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic victory ahead of the May 19 primaries. Early February FM3 Research polls among likely voters showed Kotek leading top GOP challengers Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%), with leads of 3-10 points despite voter concerns over homelessness, public safety, and education. Her recent loss of Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party endorsements in early March has not eroded her position, as a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary risks fragmenting opposition before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$11,438 Vol.
$11,438 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
87%
共和党
13%
$11,438 Vol.
$11,438 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,044 Vol.
87%
共和党
$5,395 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek's structural advantages in solidly blue Oregon, including no Republican gubernatorial win since 1987 and her fundraising lead, anchor trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic victory ahead of the May 19 primaries. Early February FM3 Research polls among likely voters showed Kotek leading top GOP challengers Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%), with leads of 3-10 points despite voter concerns over homelessness, public safety, and education. Her recent loss of Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party endorsements in early March has not eroded her position, as a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary risks fragmenting opposition before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$11,438終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek's structural advantages in solidly blue Oregon, including no Republican gubernatorial win since 1987 and her fundraising lead, anchor trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic victory ahead of the May 19 primaries. Early February FM3 Research polls among likely voters showed Kotek leading top GOP challengers Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%), with leads of 3-10 points despite voter concerns over homelessness, public safety, and education. Her recent loss of Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party endorsements in early March has not eroded her position, as a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary risks fragmenting opposition before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,438終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek's structural advantages in solidly blue Oregon, including no Republican gubernatorial win since 1987 and her fundraising lead, anchor trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic victory ahead of the May 19 primaries. Early February FM3 Research polls among likely voters showed Kotek leading top GOP challengers Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%), with leads of 3-10 points despite voter concerns over homelessness, public safety, and education. Her recent loss of Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party endorsements in early March has not eroded her position, as a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary risks fragmenting opposition before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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