Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025 for use in the 2026 midterms, marking the largest mid-decade redistricting effort in modern U.S. history. This activity began with Texas legislative changes, prompting ballot initiatives and legislative responses in California and elsewhere, alongside litigation-driven adjustments in Southern states following Supreme Court rulings on districting standards. Primary drivers include state legislatures seeking partisan seat advantages through revised district lines, subject to ongoing court review and procedural challenges in several cases. Traders assessing outcomes focus on whether additional states complete map changes before primaries and how final lines affect House balance, with resolution tied to verified use in November 2026 elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$297,281 Vol.
2026/11/03
California
92%
Texas
93%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
67%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
6%
Alabama
84%
South Carolina
9%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
11%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
4%
Minnesota
3%
New York
4%
Maryland
9%
Wisconsin
5%
$297,281 Vol.
California
$12,070 Vol.
92%
Texas
$7,231 Vol.
93%
North Carolina
$9,145 Vol.
98%
Ohio
$6,395 Vol.
94%
Utah
$66,360 Vol.
88%
Florida
$1,649 Vol.
67%
Louisiana
$15,863 Vol.
92%
Missouri
$3,907 Vol.
87%
Virginia
$7,058 Vol.
6%
Alabama
$15,579 Vol.
84%
South Carolina
$27,050 Vol.
9%
Georgia
$6,745 Vol.
4%
Kansas
$6,211 Vol.
11%
New Jersey
$5,044 Vol.
6%
Indiana
$29,486 Vol.
6%
Washington
$6,011 Vol.
7%
Nebraska
$6,583 Vol.
5%
Illinois
$10,733 Vol.
4%
Minnesota
$9,649 Vol.
3%
New York
$15,176 Vol.
4%
Maryland
$10,547 Vol.
9%
Wisconsin
$18,788 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025 for use in the 2026 midterms, marking the largest mid-decade redistricting effort in modern U.S. history. This activity began with Texas legislative changes, prompting ballot initiatives and legislative responses in California and elsewhere, alongside litigation-driven adjustments in Southern states following Supreme Court rulings on districting standards. Primary drivers include state legislatures seeking partisan seat advantages through revised district lines, subject to ongoing court review and procedural challenges in several cases. Traders assessing outcomes focus on whether additional states complete map changes before primaries and how final lines affect House balance, with resolution tied to verified use in November 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
音量
$297,281終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025 for use in the 2026 midterms, marking the largest mid-decade redistricting effort in modern U.S. history. This activity began with Texas legislative changes, prompting ballot initiatives and legislative responses in California and elsewhere, alongside litigation-driven adjustments in Southern states following Supreme Court rulings on districting standards. Primary drivers include state legislatures seeking partisan seat advantages through revised district lines, subject to ongoing court review and procedural challenges in several cases. Traders assessing outcomes focus on whether additional states complete map changes before primaries and how final lines affect House balance, with resolution tied to verified use in November 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$297,281終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025 for use in the 2026 midterms, marking the largest mid-decade redistricting effort in modern U.S. history. This activity began with Texas legislative changes, prompting ballot initiatives and legislative responses in California and elsewhere, alongside litigation-driven adjustments in Southern states following Supreme Court rulings on districting standards. Primary drivers include state legislatures seeking partisan seat advantages through revised district lines, subject to ongoing court review and procedural challenges in several cases. Traders assessing outcomes focus on whether additional states complete map changes before primaries and how final lines affect House balance, with resolution tied to verified use in November 2026 elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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