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icon for MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

スティーブン・リンチ 61%

アンドリュー・ジルバーフィンク 1.4%

パトリック・ロース 0

Polymarket
新規

スティーブン・リンチ 61%

アンドリュー・ジルバーフィンク 1.4%

パトリック・ロース 0

Polymarket
新規

スティーブン・リンチ

$2,225 Vol.

51%

アンドリュー・ジルバーフィンク

$286 Vol.

11%

パトリック・ロース

$50 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Stephen Lynch leads trader consensus at 50% in the MA-08 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure, substantial cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million as of late March, and a February Workbench Strategies poll showing him ahead 62%-36% over challenger Patrick Roath. Roath, a 39-year-old voting rights lawyer, holds 36.5% on momentum from raising $889,000 total—outpacing Lynch's recent receipts—plus endorsements from former Governor Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational change narrative amplified in an April 20 Boston Globe report on district events. Andrew Zylberfink lingers at 11.5% despite suspending his campaign. With scant public polling and the September 1 primary approaching, the race reflects incumbency strength versus progressive challenger traction.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$2,561
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Stephen Lynch leads trader consensus at 50% in the MA-08 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure, substantial cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million as of late March, and a February Workbench Strategies poll showing him ahead 62%-36% over challenger Patrick Roath. Roath, a 39-year-old voting rights lawyer, holds 36.5% on momentum from raising $889,000 total—outpacing Lynch's recent receipts—plus endorsements from former Governor Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational change narrative amplified in an April 20 Boston Globe report on district events. Andrew Zylberfink lingers at 11.5% despite suspending his campaign. With scant public polling and the September 1 primary approaching, the race reflects incumbency strength versus progressive challenger traction.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$2,561
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スティーブン・リンチ」で51%、次いで「パトリック・ロース」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、51¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に51%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「スティーブン・リンチ」で51%であり、市場がこの結果に51%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「パトリック・ロース」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。