Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the Texas 5th Congressional District's March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% for a Republican victory in the November general election. The district's R+13 partisan lean per Cook PVI, combined with Gooden's prior reelections exceeding 60% margins—including 64% over Democrat Ruth Torres in 2024—positions the race as solidly Republican despite mid-decade redistricting. Democrats advanced to a May 26 primary runoff between Chelsey Hockett (46%) and Torres (41%), with an independent, Dea Foy, also in the general; however, historical precedents in safe districts suggest significant barriers to an upset absent major scandals or shifts in turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,532 Vol.
90%
民主党
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the Texas 5th Congressional District's March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% for a Republican victory in the November general election. The district's R+13 partisan lean per Cook PVI, combined with Gooden's prior reelections exceeding 60% margins—including 64% over Democrat Ruth Torres in 2024—positions the race as solidly Republican despite mid-decade redistricting. Democrats advanced to a May 26 primary runoff between Chelsey Hockett (46%) and Torres (41%), with an independent, Dea Foy, also in the general; however, historical precedents in safe districts suggest significant barriers to an upset absent major scandals or shifts in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,532終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the Texas 5th Congressional District's March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% for a Republican victory in the November general election. The district's R+13 partisan lean per Cook PVI, combined with Gooden's prior reelections exceeding 60% margins—including 64% over Democrat Ruth Torres in 2024—positions the race as solidly Republican despite mid-decade redistricting. Democrats advanced to a May 26 primary runoff between Chelsey Hockett (46%) and Torres (41%), with an independent, Dea Foy, also in the general; however, historical precedents in safe districts suggest significant barriers to an upset absent major scandals or shifts in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,532終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the Texas 5th Congressional District's March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% for a Republican victory in the November general election. The district's R+13 partisan lean per Cook PVI, combined with Gooden's prior reelections exceeding 60% margins—including 64% over Democrat Ruth Torres in 2024—positions the race as solidly Republican despite mid-decade redistricting. Democrats advanced to a May 26 primary runoff between Chelsey Hockett (46%) and Torres (41%), with an independent, Dea Foy, also in the general; however, historical precedents in safe districts suggest significant barriers to an upset absent major scandals or shifts in turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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