The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, drawing large primary fields on both sides with contests set for June 9. The district's established R+7 partisan voting index and consistent history of Republican victories, including double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as an opportunity to compete in northern Nevada, yet structural factors and the absence of any Democratic win in the district's existence limit their positioning. Upcoming primary outcomes will clarify nominees and test whether candidate quality or turnout dynamics can narrow the gap before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,217 Vol.
$17,217 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
66%
民主党
28%
$17,217 Vol.
$17,217 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,165 Vol.
66%
民主党
$6,052 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, drawing large primary fields on both sides with contests set for June 9. The district's established R+7 partisan voting index and consistent history of Republican victories, including double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as an opportunity to compete in northern Nevada, yet structural factors and the absence of any Democratic win in the district's existence limit their positioning. Upcoming primary outcomes will clarify nominees and test whether candidate quality or turnout dynamics can narrow the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$17,217終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, drawing large primary fields on both sides with contests set for June 9. The district's established R+7 partisan voting index and consistent history of Republican victories, including double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as an opportunity to compete in northern Nevada, yet structural factors and the absence of any Democratic win in the district's existence limit their positioning. Upcoming primary outcomes will clarify nominees and test whether candidate quality or turnout dynamics can narrow the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,217終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, drawing large primary fields on both sides with contests set for June 9. The district's established R+7 partisan voting index and consistent history of Republican victories, including double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as an opportunity to compete in northern Nevada, yet structural factors and the absence of any Democratic win in the district's existence limit their positioning. Upcoming primary outcomes will clarify nominees and test whether candidate quality or turnout dynamics can narrow the gap before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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