Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by consistent voter preferences in the New Orleans suburbs and along the Gulf Coast. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, is seeking another term after securing roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, while facing only a minor intraparty challenge in the May 2026 closed primary. The lone Democratic entrant, special education teacher Lauren Jewett, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s partisan composition and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen incumbent withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still open a narrow path for the opposition in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,489 Vol.
$37,489 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$37,489 Vol.
$37,489 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$16,094 Vol.
91%
民主党
$21,395 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by consistent voter preferences in the New Orleans suburbs and along the Gulf Coast. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, is seeking another term after securing roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, while facing only a minor intraparty challenge in the May 2026 closed primary. The lone Democratic entrant, special education teacher Lauren Jewett, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s partisan composition and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen incumbent withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still open a narrow path for the opposition in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,489終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by consistent voter preferences in the New Orleans suburbs and along the Gulf Coast. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, is seeking another term after securing roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, while facing only a minor intraparty challenge in the May 2026 closed primary. The lone Democratic entrant, special education teacher Lauren Jewett, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s partisan composition and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen incumbent withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still open a narrow path for the opposition in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,489終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by consistent voter preferences in the New Orleans suburbs and along the Gulf Coast. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, is seeking another term after securing roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, while facing only a minor intraparty challenge in the May 2026 closed primary. The lone Democratic entrant, special education teacher Lauren Jewett, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s partisan composition and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen incumbent withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still open a narrow path for the opposition in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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