Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, whose established record as House Majority Leader and consistent past election margins above 60 percent continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. Recent closed-party primaries on May 16 advanced Scalise past a single Republican challenger while Democrat Lauren Jewett secured her party’s nomination with limited statewide visibility. The district’s suburban New Orleans and coastal demographics, combined with Louisiana’s electoral system favoring established incumbents, reinforce the current market pricing. A late withdrawal by Scalise or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$16,094 Vol.
91%
民主党
$21,495 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, whose established record as House Majority Leader and consistent past election margins above 60 percent continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. Recent closed-party primaries on May 16 advanced Scalise past a single Republican challenger while Democrat Lauren Jewett secured her party’s nomination with limited statewide visibility. The district’s suburban New Orleans and coastal demographics, combined with Louisiana’s electoral system favoring established incumbents, reinforce the current market pricing. A late withdrawal by Scalise or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,589終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, whose established record as House Majority Leader and consistent past election margins above 60 percent continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. Recent closed-party primaries on May 16 advanced Scalise past a single Republican challenger while Democrat Lauren Jewett secured her party’s nomination with limited statewide visibility. The district’s suburban New Orleans and coastal demographics, combined with Louisiana’s electoral system favoring established incumbents, reinforce the current market pricing. A late withdrawal by Scalise or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,589終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, whose established record as House Majority Leader and consistent past election margins above 60 percent continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold in the November 2026 general election. Recent closed-party primaries on May 16 advanced Scalise past a single Republican challenger while Democrat Lauren Jewett secured her party’s nomination with limited statewide visibility. The district’s suburban New Orleans and coastal demographics, combined with Louisiana’s electoral system favoring established incumbents, reinforce the current market pricing. A late withdrawal by Scalise or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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