Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,370 Vol.
94%
共和党
$4,742 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$8,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results where the Democratic nominee has secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001, faces only a nominal Democratic primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with broad institutional support and no significant Republican threat emerging from the August primary field. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Twin Cities metro area. Trader pricing incorporates this structural advantage alongside historical turnout patterns and limited fundraising activity from potential opponents, though an unexpected national shift or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow margins in a low-turnout environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問