Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,370 Vol.
94%
共和党
$4,742 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$8,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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