Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes enjoys a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+13 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic Party win at 93.5%. Himes, seeking re-election after large-margin victories, faces Republican challenger Damon Cerreta amid Connecticut's history of Democratic dominance in House races since the last GOP win in 2006. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with primaries scheduled for August 11 ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpected Himes retirement, a stronger GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in Fairfield County suburbs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$18,686 Vol.
$18,686 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$18,686 Vol.
$18,686 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,568 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,118 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes enjoys a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+13 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic Party win at 93.5%. Himes, seeking re-election after large-margin victories, faces Republican challenger Damon Cerreta amid Connecticut's history of Democratic dominance in House races since the last GOP win in 2006. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with primaries scheduled for August 11 ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpected Himes retirement, a stronger GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in Fairfield County suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$18,686終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes enjoys a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+13 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic Party win at 93.5%. Himes, seeking re-election after large-margin victories, faces Republican challenger Damon Cerreta amid Connecticut's history of Democratic dominance in House races since the last GOP win in 2006. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with primaries scheduled for August 11 ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpected Himes retirement, a stronger GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in Fairfield County suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,686終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes enjoys a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+13 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic Party win at 93.5%. Himes, seeking re-election after large-margin victories, faces Republican challenger Damon Cerreta amid Connecticut's history of Democratic dominance in House races since the last GOP win in 2006. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with primaries scheduled for August 11 ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge this include an unexpected Himes retirement, a stronger GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in Fairfield County suburbs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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