Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeks an 11th term in Florida’s 12th congressional district following the April 2026 adoption of a new map that preserves its strong Republican tilt, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly seven points. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Bilirakis holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democratic contenders Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments that would alter the outlook before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,044 Vol.
$25,044 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$25,044 Vol.
$25,044 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,095 Vol.
83%
民主党
$14,949 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeks an 11th term in Florida’s 12th congressional district following the April 2026 adoption of a new map that preserves its strong Republican tilt, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly seven points. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Bilirakis holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democratic contenders Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments that would alter the outlook before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$25,044終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeks an 11th term in Florida’s 12th congressional district following the April 2026 adoption of a new map that preserves its strong Republican tilt, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly seven points. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Bilirakis holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democratic contenders Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments that would alter the outlook before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,044終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeks an 11th term in Florida’s 12th congressional district following the April 2026 adoption of a new map that preserves its strong Republican tilt, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly seven points. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Bilirakis holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democratic contenders Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments that would alter the outlook before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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