Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during martial law, imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion and repeatedly extended amid ongoing frontline fighting, automatically extending President Zelenskyy's term until 90 days after martial law lifts. Traders' 79.5% "No" probability reflects this legal barrier, with no snap election or resignation signals despite war weariness evident in recent polls showing Zelenskyy's approval around 50-60%. Absent a ceasefire or major diplomatic breakthrough—such as potential U.S.-led negotiations under the incoming Trump administration—elections remain unlikely by end-2026. Opposition remains fragmented, lacking a consensus challenger, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$1,954,259 Vol.
$1,954,259 Vol.
はい
$1,954,259 Vol.
$1,954,259 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during martial law, imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion and repeatedly extended amid ongoing frontline fighting, automatically extending President Zelenskyy's term until 90 days after martial law lifts. Traders' 79.5% "No" probability reflects this legal barrier, with no snap election or resignation signals despite war weariness evident in recent polls showing Zelenskyy's approval around 50-60%. Absent a ceasefire or major diplomatic breakthrough—such as potential U.S.-led negotiations under the incoming Trump administration—elections remain unlikely by end-2026. Opposition remains fragmented, lacking a consensus challenger, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問