Vladimir Putin's constitutional term as President of Russia extends until 2030, following his May 2024 inauguration, with recent legal changes allowing potential candidacy through 2036, reinforcing trader consensus at 96.9% "No" on his departure by June 30. No verified health crises, elite dissent, or coup signals have emerged in the past 30 days; Putin appeared publicly at the Future Technologies Forum on February 25 and commented on international events like Iran's leadership changes in early March, signaling continuity amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Such high odds reflect the Kremlin's tight control and historical stability, though unforeseen scenarios—sudden severe illness, successful assassination attempt, or internal power struggle—could shift outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$1,032,573 Vol.
$1,032,573 Vol.
はい
$1,032,573 Vol.
$1,032,573 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vladimir Putin's constitutional term as President of Russia extends until 2030, following his May 2024 inauguration, with recent legal changes allowing potential candidacy through 2036, reinforcing trader consensus at 96.9% "No" on his departure by June 30. No verified health crises, elite dissent, or coup signals have emerged in the past 30 days; Putin appeared publicly at the Future Technologies Forum on February 25 and commented on international events like Iran's leadership changes in early March, signaling continuity amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Such high odds reflect the Kremlin's tight control and historical stability, though unforeseen scenarios—sudden severe illness, successful assassination attempt, or internal power struggle—could shift outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問