Cuba's announcement on April 3, 2026, to release over 2,000 prisoners—the largest amnesty in a decade—comes amid intensified U.S. sanctions pressure under the Trump administration's maximum pressure campaign, including an oil import blockade exacerbating the island's blackouts and fuel shortages. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed mid-March initiation of bilateral talks with U.S. representatives to address differences, potentially paving the way for economic concessions like eased travel restrictions, port access, energy deals, or tourism revival in exchange for reforms. Statutory embargo laws limit unilateral presidential action without congressional repeal, leaving trader consensus focused on near-term diplomatic signals before key resolution dates, with no public agreement yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$95,770 Vol.
2026/06/30
April 30
11%
June 30
27%
$95,770 Vol.
April 30
$55,754 Vol.
11%
June 30
$40,016 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Cuba's announcement on April 3, 2026, to release over 2,000 prisoners—the largest amnesty in a decade—comes amid intensified U.S. sanctions pressure under the Trump administration's maximum pressure campaign, including an oil import blockade exacerbating the island's blackouts and fuel shortages. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed mid-March initiation of bilateral talks with U.S. representatives to address differences, potentially paving the way for economic concessions like eased travel restrictions, port access, energy deals, or tourism revival in exchange for reforms. Statutory embargo laws limit unilateral presidential action without congressional repeal, leaving trader consensus focused on near-term diplomatic signals before key resolution dates, with no public agreement yet.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
音量
$95,770終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Cuba's announcement on April 3, 2026, to release over 2,000 prisoners—the largest amnesty in a decade—comes amid intensified U.S. sanctions pressure under the Trump administration's maximum pressure campaign, including an oil import blockade exacerbating the island's blackouts and fuel shortages. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed mid-March initiation of bilateral talks with U.S. representatives to address differences, potentially paving the way for economic concessions like eased travel restrictions, port access, energy deals, or tourism revival in exchange for reforms. Statutory embargo laws limit unilateral presidential action without congressional repeal, leaving trader consensus focused on near-term diplomatic signals before key resolution dates, with no public agreement yet.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$95,770終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cuba's announcement on April 3, 2026, to release over 2,000 prisoners—the largest amnesty in a decade—comes amid intensified U.S. sanctions pressure under the Trump administration's maximum pressure campaign, including an oil import blockade exacerbating the island's blackouts and fuel shortages. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed mid-March initiation of bilateral talks with U.S. representatives to address differences, potentially paving the way for economic concessions like eased travel restrictions, port access, energy deals, or tourism revival in exchange for reforms. Statutory embargo laws limit unilateral presidential action without congressional repeal, leaving trader consensus focused on near-term diplomatic signals before key resolution dates, with no public agreement yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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