Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日220〜239 100.0%
20未満 <1%
20〜39 <1%
40～59 <1%
$12,227,325 Vol.
$12,227,325 Vol.
2026/04/21
20未満
いいえ
20〜39
いいえ
40～59
いいえ
60〜79
いいえ
80～99
いいえ
100〜119
いいえ
120〜139
いいえ
140〜159
いいえ
160〜179
いいえ
180〜199
いいえ
200～219
いいえ
220〜239
はい
240～259
いいえ
260〜279
いいえ
280～299
いいえ
300〜319
いいえ
320〜339
いいえ
340～359
いいえ
360〜379
いいえ
380～399
いいえ
400～419
いいえ
420～439
いいえ
440〜459
いいえ
460～479
いいえ
480～499
いいえ
500〜519
いいえ
520～539
いいえ
540～559
いいえ
560〜579
いいえ
580以上
いいえ
220〜239 100.0%
20未満 <1%
20〜39 <1%
40～59 <1%
$12,227,325 Vol.
$12,227,325 Vol.
2026/04/21
20未満
$304,767 Vol.
いいえ
20〜39
$60,420 Vol.
いいえ
40～59
$70,450 Vol.
いいえ
60〜79
$150,173 Vol.
いいえ
80～99
$215,220 Vol.
いいえ
100〜119
$210,972 Vol.
いいえ
120〜139
$238,850 Vol.
いいえ
140〜159
$351,286 Vol.
いいえ
160〜179
$511,939 Vol.
いいえ
180〜199
$878,289 Vol.
いいえ
200～219
$1,334,593 Vol.
いいえ
220〜239
$892,737 Vol.
はい
240～259
$1,028,751 Vol.
いいえ
260〜279
$692,828 Vol.
いいえ
280～299
$554,573 Vol.
いいえ
300〜319
$664,404 Vol.
いいえ
320〜339
$532,991 Vol.
いいえ
340～359
$478,464 Vol.
いいえ
360〜379
$349,885 Vol.
いいえ
380～399
$282,659 Vol.
いいえ
400～419
$298,309 Vol.
いいえ
420～439
$245,327 Vol.
いいえ
440〜459
$225,085 Vol.
いいえ
460～479
$242,454 Vol.
いいえ
480～499
$184,731 Vol.
いいえ
500〜519
$193,816 Vol.
いいえ
520～539
$186,997 Vol.
いいえ
540～559
$253,855 Vol.
いいえ
560〜579
$203,882 Vol.
いいえ
580以上
$388,618 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$12,227,325終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$12,227,325終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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