Skip to main content
icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？

Ended: 4月 28

5月 12

5月 15

5月 19

Ended: 4月 28

5月 12

5月 15

5月 19

220～239 100.0%

＜20 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40〜59 <1%

Polymarket

$9,748,236 Vol.

220～239 100.0%

＜20 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40〜59 <1%

Polymarket

$9,748,236 Vol.

＜20

$43,809 Vol.

いいえ

20〜39

$24,857 Vol.

いいえ

40〜59

$26,747 Vol.

いいえ

60～79

$80,227 Vol.

いいえ

80～99

$102,753 Vol.

いいえ

100〜119

$239,515 Vol.

いいえ

120〜139

$293,344 Vol.

いいえ

140〜159

$488,900 Vol.

いいえ

160〜179

$705,300 Vol.

いいえ

180～199

$835,712 Vol.

いいえ

200〜219

$761,487 Vol.

いいえ

220～239

$616,508 Vol.

はい

240～259

$707,314 Vol.

いいえ

260〜279

$580,884 Vol.

いいえ

280～299

$544,859 Vol.

いいえ

300～319

$537,007 Vol.

いいえ

320～339

$469,534 Vol.

いいえ

340〜359

$432,866 Vol.

いいえ

360～379

$285,266 Vol.

いいえ

380～399

$224,632 Vol.

いいえ

400〜419

$244,845 Vol.

いいえ

420～439

$128,383 Vol.

いいえ

440～459

$125,144 Vol.

いいえ

460～479

$109,625 Vol.

いいえ

480〜499

$108,744 Vol.

いいえ

500〜519

$549,391 Vol.

いいえ

520〜539

$77,002 Vol.

いいえ

540～559

$125,017 Vol.

いいえ

560〜579

$53,686 Vol.

いいえ

580以上

$224,880 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 220-239 times from April 21-28, driven by real-time trackers like XTracker confirming a final tally of 227 posts on his @elonmusk account—aligning perfectly with his steady cadence of roughly 30 posts per day amid viral commentary on politics, Tesla updates, and memes. This week's unremarkable rhythm, without major events spiking or suppressing his signature high-volume X engagement, solidifies the frontrunner after the period closed on April 28. Realistic upsets would require rare resolution disputes, such as excluding replies or reposts from the official count, or an unreported late surge exceeding 239, though aggregated trader capital deems these negligible risks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$9,748,236
終了日
2026/04/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 18, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 220-239 times from April 21-28, driven by real-time trackers like XTracker confirming a final tally of 227 posts on his @elonmusk account—aligning perfectly with his steady cadence of roughly 30 posts per day amid viral commentary on politics, Tesla updates, and memes. This week's unremarkable rhythm, without major events spiking or suppressing his signature high-volume X engagement, solidifies the frontrunner after the period closed on April 28. Realistic upsets would require rare resolution disputes, such as excluding replies or reposts from the official count, or an unreported late surge exceeding 239, though aggregated trader capital deems these negligible risks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$9,748,236
終了日
2026/04/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 18, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「220～239」で100%、次いで「＜20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？」は$9.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 18, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「220～239」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「＜20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月21日〜4月28日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。