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icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？

Ended: 4月 24

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

Ended: 4月 24

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

200〜219 100.0%

19未満 <1%

20～39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,686,871 Vol.

200〜219 100.0%

19未満 <1%

20～39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,686,871 Vol.

19未満

$62,948 Vol.

いいえ

20～39

$66,427 Vol.

いいえ

40～59

$39,854 Vol.

いいえ

60～79

$75,391 Vol.

いいえ

80〜99

$185,139 Vol.

いいえ

100～119

$207,955 Vol.

いいえ

120〜139

$554,930 Vol.

いいえ

140〜159

$531,427 Vol.

いいえ

160～179

$1,008,411 Vol.

いいえ

180～199

$1,631,433 Vol.

いいえ

200〜219

$950,565 Vol.

はい

220〜239

$1,071,322 Vol.

いいえ

240～259

$669,054 Vol.

いいえ

260～279

$675,365 Vol.

いいえ

280〜299

$480,443 Vol.

いいえ

300〜319

$442,229 Vol.

いいえ

320～339

$410,360 Vol.

いいえ

340〜359

$359,829 Vol.

いいえ

360～379

$339,488 Vol.

いいえ

380〜399

$258,981 Vol.

いいえ

400～419

$157,997 Vol.

いいえ

420〜439

$165,871 Vol.

いいえ

440〜459

$134,201 Vol.

いいえ

460〜479

$117,743 Vol.

いいえ

480〜499

$164,632 Vol.

いいえ

500～519

$100,285 Vol.

いいえ

520〜539

$140,110 Vol.

いいえ

540～559

$180,209 Vol.

いいえ

560〜579

$218,672 Vol.

いいえ

580件以上

$285,598 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a near-certain 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 200-219 times on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24 12:00 PM ET, driven by real-time trackers logging 184 posts through the first seven days at a steady daily average of 26, with April 24 activity—featuring viral replies on AI reasoning, political maps, and cultural critiques—projecting a final tally comfortably within range before cutoff. This reflects Musk's predictable high-volume tweeting cadence, amplified by ongoing engagement on Grok advancements and social commentary, mirroring historical patterns where he averages 25-35 posts daily amid pop culture buzz. An upset would require an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 35 additional posts, improbable given time constraints and his typical rhythm, though late-breaking news could spur minor shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$11,686,871
終了日
2026/04/24
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a near-certain 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 200-219 times on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24 12:00 PM ET, driven by real-time trackers logging 184 posts through the first seven days at a steady daily average of 26, with April 24 activity—featuring viral replies on AI reasoning, political maps, and cultural critiques—projecting a final tally comfortably within range before cutoff. This reflects Musk's predictable high-volume tweeting cadence, amplified by ongoing engagement on Grok advancements and social commentary, mirroring historical patterns where he averages 25-35 posts daily amid pop culture buzz. An upset would require an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 35 additional posts, improbable given time constraints and his typical rhythm, though late-breaking news could spur minor shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$11,686,871
終了日
2026/04/24
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「200〜219」で100%、次いで「19未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？」は$11.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「200〜219」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「19未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月17日〜4月24日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。