Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 86% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial by-election on November 13, reflecting his dominant position in recent polls amid national Democratic Party momentum. Incumbent Kim Jin-tae, who resigned after a Supreme Court-upheld conviction for 2022 election violations (receiving a suspended sentence), trails at 11.5% as the People Power Party nominee seeking a comeback, hurt by scandal fallout. Latest Realmeter and Gallup surveys from early October show Woo leading 52-58% to Kim's 22-28%, with minor candidates like Lee Chul-gyu and others under 2%. Key drivers include voter backlash against ruling party graft probes and Woo's strong local organization; watch final TV debates and early voting turnout for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ウ・サンホ 86%
金鎮台 12%
イ・チョルギュ <1%
イ・グァンジェ <1%
$139,720 Vol.
$139,720 Vol.
金鎮台
12%
キム・ワンソプ
<1%
イ・チョルギュ
1%
権性東
<1%
ウ・サンホ
86%
キム・ドギュン
<1%
イ・グァンジェ
1%
ソン・ギホン
<1%
ウォン・チャンムク
<1%
ウ・サンホ 86%
金鎮台 12%
イ・チョルギュ <1%
イ・グァンジェ <1%
$139,720 Vol.
$139,720 Vol.
金鎮台
12%
キム・ワンソプ
<1%
イ・チョルギュ
1%
権性東
<1%
ウ・サンホ
86%
キム・ドギュン
<1%
イ・グァンジェ
1%
ソン・ギホン
<1%
ウォン・チャンムク
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 86% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial by-election on November 13, reflecting his dominant position in recent polls amid national Democratic Party momentum. Incumbent Kim Jin-tae, who resigned after a Supreme Court-upheld conviction for 2022 election violations (receiving a suspended sentence), trails at 11.5% as the People Power Party nominee seeking a comeback, hurt by scandal fallout. Latest Realmeter and Gallup surveys from early October show Woo leading 52-58% to Kim's 22-28%, with minor candidates like Lee Chul-gyu and others under 2%. Key drivers include voter backlash against ruling party graft probes and Woo's strong local organization; watch final TV debates and early voting turnout for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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