North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,225 Vol.
$12,225 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$12,225 Vol.
$12,225 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,607 Vol.
94%
共和党
$4,618 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$12,225終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,225終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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