Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty advanced from the May 5, 2026, primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote in Ohio’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Beatty’s long tenure since 2013 and primary performance signal limited vulnerability, while the Republican challenger enters without prior elected office experience or contested primary momentum. Factors that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout or unexpected shifts in voter preferences before Election Day, though structural district characteristics have historically sustained Democratic advantages in similar contests.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,074 Vol.
$29,074 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$29,074 Vol.
$29,074 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty advanced from the May 5, 2026, primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote in Ohio’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Beatty’s long tenure since 2013 and primary performance signal limited vulnerability, while the Republican challenger enters without prior elected office experience or contested primary momentum. Factors that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout or unexpected shifts in voter preferences before Election Day, though structural district characteristics have historically sustained Democratic advantages in similar contests.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問