Recent redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026 produced a congressional map projected to yield a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, strengthening the partisan lean of the 28th district. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won reelection there in 2024 with 64.6 percent of the vote, holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an overwhelming implied probability while viewing Democratic prospects as limited absent unexpected developments before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,295 Vol.
90%
民主党
$7,693 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026 produced a congressional map projected to yield a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, strengthening the partisan lean of the 28th district. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won reelection there in 2024 with 64.6 percent of the vote, holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an overwhelming implied probability while viewing Democratic prospects as limited absent unexpected developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$9,988終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026 produced a congressional map projected to yield a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, strengthening the partisan lean of the 28th district. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won reelection there in 2024 with 64.6 percent of the vote, holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an overwhelming implied probability while viewing Democratic prospects as limited absent unexpected developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,988終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026 produced a congressional map projected to yield a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide, strengthening the partisan lean of the 28th district. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won reelection there in 2024 with 64.6 percent of the vote, holds a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an overwhelming implied probability while viewing Democratic prospects as limited absent unexpected developments before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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