Florida's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican nominee an overwhelming edge consistent with nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Carlos Giménez faces minimal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general with a partisan voting index heavily favoring Republicans after the state legislature approved a new congressional map in April 2026 that aims for a 24-4 statewide split. Recent polling shows Giménez maintaining a comfortable lead over likely Democratic challengers, while fundraising and structural advantages further reinforce the district's lean. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,295 Vol.
90%
民主党
$7,693 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican nominee an overwhelming edge consistent with nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Carlos Giménez faces minimal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general with a partisan voting index heavily favoring Republicans after the state legislature approved a new congressional map in April 2026 that aims for a 24-4 statewide split. Recent polling shows Giménez maintaining a comfortable lead over likely Democratic challengers, while fundraising and structural advantages further reinforce the district's lean. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$9,988終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican nominee an overwhelming edge consistent with nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Carlos Giménez faces minimal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general with a partisan voting index heavily favoring Republicans after the state legislature approved a new congressional map in April 2026 that aims for a 24-4 statewide split. Recent polling shows Giménez maintaining a comfortable lead over likely Democratic challengers, while fundraising and structural advantages further reinforce the district's lean. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,988終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican nominee an overwhelming edge consistent with nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Carlos Giménez faces minimal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general with a partisan voting index heavily favoring Republicans after the state legislature approved a new congressional map in April 2026 that aims for a 24-4 statewide split. Recent polling shows Giménez maintaining a comfortable lead over likely Democratic challengers, while fundraising and structural advantages further reinforce the district's lean. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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