The Arizona 5th congressional district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and prior Republican margins above 20 points underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Andy Biggs is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat whose Republican primary on July 21 features Mark Lamb as the clear frontrunner with Trump endorsement and consistent polling leads of 50-plus points. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited structural opportunity for Democrats despite their primary activity. No recent events have altered the district's partisan baseline or introduced competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,792 Vol.
$12,792 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
82%
民主党
16%
$12,792 Vol.
$12,792 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,155 Vol.
82%
民主党
$4,637 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 5th congressional district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and prior Republican margins above 20 points underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Andy Biggs is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat whose Republican primary on July 21 features Mark Lamb as the clear frontrunner with Trump endorsement and consistent polling leads of 50-plus points. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited structural opportunity for Democrats despite their primary activity. No recent events have altered the district's partisan baseline or introduced competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$12,792終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 5th congressional district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and prior Republican margins above 20 points underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Andy Biggs is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat whose Republican primary on July 21 features Mark Lamb as the clear frontrunner with Trump endorsement and consistent polling leads of 50-plus points. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited structural opportunity for Democrats despite their primary activity. No recent events have altered the district's partisan baseline or introduced competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,792終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Arizona 5th congressional district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and prior Republican margins above 20 points underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Andy Biggs is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat whose Republican primary on July 21 features Mark Lamb as the clear frontrunner with Trump endorsement and consistent polling leads of 50-plus points. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited structural opportunity for Democrats despite their primary activity. No recent events have altered the district's partisan baseline or introduced competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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