Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 69.5% in the open TX-23 House race, reflecting the district's rightward shift—Tony Gonzales won by 25 points in 2024—and Brandon Herrera's strong GOP nomination after forcing the incumbent into a March primary runoff before Gonzales withdrew amid scandal and resigned in April. Herrera's $1.5 million fundraising and appeal on border security and gun rights bolster his path-to-victory in this South Texas battleground, while Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout trails with under $250,000 raised and modest primary support. Early March polls showed a close contest, but no recent surveys have narrowed the GOP edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,579 Vol.
$16,579 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
70%
民主党
26%
$16,579 Vol.
$16,579 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,336 Vol.
70%
民主党
$7,243 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 69.5% in the open TX-23 House race, reflecting the district's rightward shift—Tony Gonzales won by 25 points in 2024—and Brandon Herrera's strong GOP nomination after forcing the incumbent into a March primary runoff before Gonzales withdrew amid scandal and resigned in April. Herrera's $1.5 million fundraising and appeal on border security and gun rights bolster his path-to-victory in this South Texas battleground, while Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout trails with under $250,000 raised and modest primary support. Early March polls showed a close contest, but no recent surveys have narrowed the GOP edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$16,579終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 69.5% in the open TX-23 House race, reflecting the district's rightward shift—Tony Gonzales won by 25 points in 2024—and Brandon Herrera's strong GOP nomination after forcing the incumbent into a March primary runoff before Gonzales withdrew amid scandal and resigned in April. Herrera's $1.5 million fundraising and appeal on border security and gun rights bolster his path-to-victory in this South Texas battleground, while Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout trails with under $250,000 raised and modest primary support. Early March polls showed a close contest, but no recent surveys have narrowed the GOP edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,579終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 69.5% in the open TX-23 House race, reflecting the district's rightward shift—Tony Gonzales won by 25 points in 2024—and Brandon Herrera's strong GOP nomination after forcing the incumbent into a March primary runoff before Gonzales withdrew amid scandal and resigned in April. Herrera's $1.5 million fundraising and appeal on border security and gun rights bolster his path-to-victory in this South Texas battleground, while Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout trails with under $250,000 raised and modest primary support. Early March polls showed a close contest, but no recent surveys have narrowed the GOP edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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