North Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the incumbent Julie Fedorchak securing a 39-point margin in 2024 against the same Democratic-NPL challenger, Trygve Hammer, who is again the presumptive nominee. Fedorchak faces a June 9 primary against Alex Balazs, but the seat's structural Republican advantage and the state's voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong general-election outcome. The upcoming primary and general election timelines on November 3 leave room for shifts if a late scandal, health development, or national political wave alters turnout or candidate viability in this low-population district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the incumbent Julie Fedorchak securing a 39-point margin in 2024 against the same Democratic-NPL challenger, Trygve Hammer, who is again the presumptive nominee. Fedorchak faces a June 9 primary against Alex Balazs, but the seat's structural Republican advantage and the state's voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong general-election outcome. The upcoming primary and general election timelines on November 3 leave room for shifts if a late scandal, health development, or national political wave alters turnout or candidate viability in this low-population district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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