North Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party's nominee favored at 95.3% in current trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak, who won the seat in 2024 by a wide margin, faces a June 9 primary challenge from Alex Balazs but holds key endorsements including from President Trump. The Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, is expected to advance from his party's primary but confronts structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated federal races for decades. Limited recent polling and the absence of competitive statewide shifts reinforce this positioning, though an unforeseen primary upset or late-breaking national event could introduce volatility before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party's nominee favored at 95.3% in current trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak, who won the seat in 2024 by a wide margin, faces a June 9 primary challenge from Alex Balazs but holds key endorsements including from President Trump. The Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, is expected to advance from his party's primary but confronts structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated federal races for decades. Limited recent polling and the absence of competitive statewide shifts reinforce this positioning, though an unforeseen primary upset or late-breaking national event could introduce volatility before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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