**María Elvira Salazar maintains a lead in trader consensus for Florida’s 27th congressional district, reflecting her incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s Republican lean, though the race has tightened markedly.** Recent internal polls show the candidates nearly tied or separated by low single digits, prompting nonpartisan forecasters to shift ratings from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Salazar’s September campaign ad criticizing aspects of federal immigration enforcement as excessive drew attention and some intraparty friction, while highlighting her record of securing local funding for housing, healthcare, and senior services. Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, a former local news anchor, has focused on voter dissatisfaction in the heavily Hispanic district amid broader polling trends. With early voting beginning later this month and the general election set for November 3, the contest remains sensitive to turnout and late developments in a seat that shifted from safer Republican territory.
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