Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds an established edge in Florida's 27th congressional district, where the R+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 reelection with 60.4% of the vote underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May produced a map projected to expand the statewide GOP House advantage, prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Likely Republican. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Robin Peguero and others competing on August 18, have raised the possibility of a stronger general election matchup, though March polling showed Salazar ahead by several points in hypothetical contests. Primary results, any late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election, and court challenges to the new map remain the main variables that could influence positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,595 Vol.
$12,595 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
69%
民主党
27%
$12,595 Vol.
$12,595 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,177 Vol.
69%
民主党
$7,418 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds an established edge in Florida's 27th congressional district, where the R+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 reelection with 60.4% of the vote underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May produced a map projected to expand the statewide GOP House advantage, prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Likely Republican. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Robin Peguero and others competing on August 18, have raised the possibility of a stronger general election matchup, though March polling showed Salazar ahead by several points in hypothetical contests. Primary results, any late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election, and court challenges to the new map remain the main variables that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$12,595終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds an established edge in Florida's 27th congressional district, where the R+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 reelection with 60.4% of the vote underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May produced a map projected to expand the statewide GOP House advantage, prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Likely Republican. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Robin Peguero and others competing on August 18, have raised the possibility of a stronger general election matchup, though March polling showed Salazar ahead by several points in hypothetical contests. Primary results, any late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election, and court challenges to the new map remain the main variables that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,595終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds an established edge in Florida's 27th congressional district, where the R+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 reelection with 60.4% of the vote underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May produced a map projected to expand the statewide GOP House advantage, prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Likely Republican. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Robin Peguero and others competing on August 18, have raised the possibility of a stronger general election matchup, though March polling showed Salazar ahead by several points in hypothetical contests. Primary results, any late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election, and court challenges to the new map remain the main variables that could influence positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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