Florida's 27th congressional district has shifted toward a stronger Republican lean following mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Maria Elvira Salazar holds a fundraising and name-recognition advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries, with recent polling showing her leading top Democratic challengers by margins of three to seven points. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar's prior reelection performance by double digits reinforce expectations of continued Republican control in the November general election. Democratic contenders, including Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez, face a crowded primary and must overcome structural barriers in a South Florida seat that has trended Republican in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,498 Vol.
$12,498 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
64%
民主党
27%
$12,498 Vol.
$12,498 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,130 Vol.
64%
民主党
$7,368 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 27th congressional district has shifted toward a stronger Republican lean following mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Maria Elvira Salazar holds a fundraising and name-recognition advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries, with recent polling showing her leading top Democratic challengers by margins of three to seven points. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar's prior reelection performance by double digits reinforce expectations of continued Republican control in the November general election. Democratic contenders, including Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez, face a crowded primary and must overcome structural barriers in a South Florida seat that has trended Republican in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$12,498終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 27th congressional district has shifted toward a stronger Republican lean following mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Maria Elvira Salazar holds a fundraising and name-recognition advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries, with recent polling showing her leading top Democratic challengers by margins of three to seven points. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar's prior reelection performance by double digits reinforce expectations of continued Republican control in the November general election. Democratic contenders, including Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez, face a crowded primary and must overcome structural barriers in a South Florida seat that has trended Republican in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,498終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 27th congressional district has shifted toward a stronger Republican lean following mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Maria Elvira Salazar holds a fundraising and name-recognition advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries, with recent polling showing her leading top Democratic challengers by margins of three to seven points. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar's prior reelection performance by double digits reinforce expectations of continued Republican control in the November general election. Democratic contenders, including Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez, face a crowded primary and must overcome structural barriers in a South Florida seat that has trended Republican in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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