Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 ahead of Georgia's March 6 filing deadline, anchoring trader consensus at 96% for Democratic Party victory in GA-04, a district with D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. Johnson's challengers in the May 19 Democratic primary—Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—show minimal fundraising, while Republican James Duffie stands alone in his primary, reflecting historical general election blowouts exceeding 75% Democratic margins in 2024 and prior cycles. This commanding position stems from the Atlanta-area battleground's deep-blue demographics and incumbency edge, though late scandals, primary upsets producing a weakened nominee, or an extraordinary GOP midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$3,072 Vol.
96%
共和党
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 ahead of Georgia's March 6 filing deadline, anchoring trader consensus at 96% for Democratic Party victory in GA-04, a district with D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. Johnson's challengers in the May 19 Democratic primary—Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—show minimal fundraising, while Republican James Duffie stands alone in his primary, reflecting historical general election blowouts exceeding 75% Democratic margins in 2024 and prior cycles. This commanding position stems from the Atlanta-area battleground's deep-blue demographics and incumbency edge, though late scandals, primary upsets producing a weakened nominee, or an extraordinary GOP midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$3,072終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 ahead of Georgia's March 6 filing deadline, anchoring trader consensus at 96% for Democratic Party victory in GA-04, a district with D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. Johnson's challengers in the May 19 Democratic primary—Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—show minimal fundraising, while Republican James Duffie stands alone in his primary, reflecting historical general election blowouts exceeding 75% Democratic margins in 2024 and prior cycles. This commanding position stems from the Atlanta-area battleground's deep-blue demographics and incumbency edge, though late scandals, primary upsets producing a weakened nominee, or an extraordinary GOP midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,072終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 ahead of Georgia's March 6 filing deadline, anchoring trader consensus at 96% for Democratic Party victory in GA-04, a district with D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. Johnson's challengers in the May 19 Democratic primary—Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—show minimal fundraising, while Republican James Duffie stands alone in his primary, reflecting historical general election blowouts exceeding 75% Democratic margins in 2024 and prior cycles. This commanding position stems from the Atlanta-area battleground's deep-blue demographics and incumbency edge, though late scandals, primary upsets producing a weakened nominee, or an extraordinary GOP midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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