Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop's unopposed path in the May 19 primary drives trader consensus to 87% for the Democratic Party in GA-02, reflecting the district's D+4 partisan voting index and his consistent victories, including 56% in 2024. The March 6 filing deadline solidified a weak Republican field, with Matt Day as presumptive nominee after rivals like Chuck Hand withdrew, hampered by low fundraising—Bishop holds $269,000 cash on hand versus Day's $8,000. Forecasters rate the seat safe Democratic, with no polling indicating competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this rural southwestern Georgia district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
88%
共和党
12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
88%
共和党
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop's unopposed path in the May 19 primary drives trader consensus to 87% for the Democratic Party in GA-02, reflecting the district's D+4 partisan voting index and his consistent victories, including 56% in 2024. The March 6 filing deadline solidified a weak Republican field, with Matt Day as presumptive nominee after rivals like Chuck Hand withdrew, hampered by low fundraising—Bishop holds $269,000 cash on hand versus Day's $8,000. Forecasters rate the seat safe Democratic, with no polling indicating competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this rural southwestern Georgia district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop's unopposed path in the May 19 primary drives trader consensus to 87% for the Democratic Party in GA-02, reflecting the district's D+4 partisan voting index and his consistent victories, including 56% in 2024. The March 6 filing deadline solidified a weak Republican field, with Matt Day as presumptive nominee after rivals like Chuck Hand withdrew, hampered by low fundraising—Bishop holds $269,000 cash on hand versus Day's $8,000. Forecasters rate the seat safe Democratic, with no polling indicating competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this rural southwestern Georgia district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop's unopposed path in the May 19 primary drives trader consensus to 87% for the Democratic Party in GA-02, reflecting the district's D+4 partisan voting index and his consistent victories, including 56% in 2024. The March 6 filing deadline solidified a weak Republican field, with Matt Day as presumptive nominee after rivals like Chuck Hand withdrew, hampered by low fundraising—Bishop holds $269,000 cash on hand versus Day's $8,000. Forecasters rate the seat safe Democratic, with no polling indicating competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this rural southwestern Georgia district.
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