The trader consensus reflected in current pricing for the MD-06 seat stems primarily from the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by incumbent April McClain Delaney’s 2024 victory and solid fundraising edge. Multiple independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features McClain Delaney holding double-digit leads in internal polling against challengers including David Trone, while Republican primary contenders remain less prominent. A national Republican surge or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent polling trends continue to anchor the strong Democratic position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,177 Vol.
$15,177 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
$15,177 Vol.
$15,177 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,165 Vol.
91%
共和党
$10,012 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The trader consensus reflected in current pricing for the MD-06 seat stems primarily from the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by incumbent April McClain Delaney’s 2024 victory and solid fundraising edge. Multiple independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features McClain Delaney holding double-digit leads in internal polling against challengers including David Trone, while Republican primary contenders remain less prominent. A national Republican surge or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent polling trends continue to anchor the strong Democratic position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,177終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The trader consensus reflected in current pricing for the MD-06 seat stems primarily from the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by incumbent April McClain Delaney’s 2024 victory and solid fundraising edge. Multiple independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features McClain Delaney holding double-digit leads in internal polling against challengers including David Trone, while Republican primary contenders remain less prominent. A national Republican surge or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent polling trends continue to anchor the strong Democratic position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,177終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The trader consensus reflected in current pricing for the MD-06 seat stems primarily from the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by incumbent April McClain Delaney’s 2024 victory and solid fundraising edge. Multiple independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features McClain Delaney holding double-digit leads in internal polling against challengers including David Trone, while Republican primary contenders remain less prominent. A national Republican surge or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent polling trends continue to anchor the strong Democratic position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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