The redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean after 2025 mid-decade map changes that delivered a Trump +10 margin in 2024. Both nominees emerged from May 2026 runoffs—Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia on the Democratic side after defeating Maureen Galindo, and Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side after besting state Rep. John Lujan with Trump’s backing. Recent polling shows the race statistically tied, with Garcia emphasizing affordability, border infrastructure, and law-enforcement priorities while De La Cruz highlights his family ties to Rep. Monica De La Cruz and alignment with Republican leadership. Traders appear to weigh Garcia’s local profile and the majority-Hispanic electorate more heavily than the district’s structural tilt heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,798 Vol.
$17,798 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョニー・ガルシア（民主党）
64%
カルロス・デ・ラ・クルス（共和党）
37%
$17,798 Vol.
$17,798 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョニー・ガルシア（民主党）
$8,672 Vol.
64%
カルロス・デ・ラ・クルス（共和党）
$9,127 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean after 2025 mid-decade map changes that delivered a Trump +10 margin in 2024. Both nominees emerged from May 2026 runoffs—Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia on the Democratic side after defeating Maureen Galindo, and Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side after besting state Rep. John Lujan with Trump’s backing. Recent polling shows the race statistically tied, with Garcia emphasizing affordability, border infrastructure, and law-enforcement priorities while De La Cruz highlights his family ties to Rep. Monica De La Cruz and alignment with Republican leadership. Traders appear to weigh Garcia’s local profile and the majority-Hispanic electorate more heavily than the district’s structural tilt heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$17,798終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean after 2025 mid-decade map changes that delivered a Trump +10 margin in 2024. Both nominees emerged from May 2026 runoffs—Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia on the Democratic side after defeating Maureen Galindo, and Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side after besting state Rep. John Lujan with Trump’s backing. Recent polling shows the race statistically tied, with Garcia emphasizing affordability, border infrastructure, and law-enforcement priorities while De La Cruz highlights his family ties to Rep. Monica De La Cruz and alignment with Republican leadership. Traders appear to weigh Garcia’s local profile and the majority-Hispanic electorate more heavily than the district’s structural tilt heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,798終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean after 2025 mid-decade map changes that delivered a Trump +10 margin in 2024. Both nominees emerged from May 2026 runoffs—Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia on the Democratic side after defeating Maureen Galindo, and Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side after besting state Rep. John Lujan with Trump’s backing. Recent polling shows the race statistically tied, with Garcia emphasizing affordability, border infrastructure, and law-enforcement priorities while De La Cruz highlights his family ties to Rep. Monica De La Cruz and alignment with Republican leadership. Traders appear to weigh Garcia’s local profile and the majority-Hispanic electorate more heavily than the district’s structural tilt heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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