Georgia's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus on a commanding Democratic Party hold, reflecting consistent large-margin victories like incumbent Rep. David Scott's 72%-28% win in 2024. A crowded Democratic primary on May 19 features Scott facing strong fundraising challengers like state Rep. Jasmine Clark—who recent New York Times polling shows nearly tied with him—and Dr. Heavenly Kimes, but the general election remains uncompetitive against Republican Jonathan Chavez, the sole, underfunded GOP primary entrant who underperformed previously. Potential disruptions include a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary Republican turnout wave, though the district's demographics and history render these improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日民主党
95%
共和党
4%
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus on a commanding Democratic Party hold, reflecting consistent large-margin victories like incumbent Rep. David Scott's 72%-28% win in 2024. A crowded Democratic primary on May 19 features Scott facing strong fundraising challengers like state Rep. Jasmine Clark—who recent New York Times polling shows nearly tied with him—and Dr. Heavenly Kimes, but the general election remains uncompetitive against Republican Jonathan Chavez, the sole, underfunded GOP primary entrant who underperformed previously. Potential disruptions include a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary Republican turnout wave, though the district's demographics and history render these improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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