Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+7 partisan voter index. Stauber won the seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points, consistent with the district’s northeastern Minnesota base and recent presidential margins. His April 2026 convention endorsement by party delegates reinforces his position ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a crowded primary field including multiple challengers and reality television personality Luke Gulbranson, which may delay unified opposition. These structural factors, including incumbency and voter registration patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,394 Vol.
$14,394 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
73%
民主党
24%
$14,394 Vol.
$14,394 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,501 Vol.
73%
民主党
$6,892 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+7 partisan voter index. Stauber won the seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points, consistent with the district’s northeastern Minnesota base and recent presidential margins. His April 2026 convention endorsement by party delegates reinforces his position ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a crowded primary field including multiple challengers and reality television personality Luke Gulbranson, which may delay unified opposition. These structural factors, including incumbency and voter registration patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$14,394終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+7 partisan voter index. Stauber won the seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points, consistent with the district’s northeastern Minnesota base and recent presidential margins. His April 2026 convention endorsement by party delegates reinforces his position ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a crowded primary field including multiple challengers and reality television personality Luke Gulbranson, which may delay unified opposition. These structural factors, including incumbency and voter registration patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,394終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+7 partisan voter index. Stauber won the seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points, consistent with the district’s northeastern Minnesota base and recent presidential margins. His April 2026 convention endorsement by party delegates reinforces his position ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a crowded primary field including multiple challengers and reality television personality Luke Gulbranson, which may delay unified opposition. These structural factors, including incumbency and voter registration patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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