Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from Minnesota's 8th Congressional District's R+7 partisan lean and his 58 percent victory in 2024, which aligns with Donald Trump's 14-point margin there and underpins the Republican Party's 77 percent trader consensus. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Recent developments include Stauber's unanimous endorsement at the Republican nominating convention on April 25 and Democrats' selection of Trina Swanson at their May 2 convention, though the Democratic primary remains crowded with five candidates ahead of the August 11 vote and June 2 filing deadline. This fragmented opposition and lack of district polling reinforce the current implied probability favoring the Republican nominee in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,843 Vol.
$13,843 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
76%
民主党
25%
$13,843 Vol.
$13,843 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,151 Vol.
76%
民主党
$6,691 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from Minnesota's 8th Congressional District's R+7 partisan lean and his 58 percent victory in 2024, which aligns with Donald Trump's 14-point margin there and underpins the Republican Party's 77 percent trader consensus. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Recent developments include Stauber's unanimous endorsement at the Republican nominating convention on April 25 and Democrats' selection of Trina Swanson at their May 2 convention, though the Democratic primary remains crowded with five candidates ahead of the August 11 vote and June 2 filing deadline. This fragmented opposition and lack of district polling reinforce the current implied probability favoring the Republican nominee in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$13,843終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from Minnesota's 8th Congressional District's R+7 partisan lean and his 58 percent victory in 2024, which aligns with Donald Trump's 14-point margin there and underpins the Republican Party's 77 percent trader consensus. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Recent developments include Stauber's unanimous endorsement at the Republican nominating convention on April 25 and Democrats' selection of Trina Swanson at their May 2 convention, though the Democratic primary remains crowded with five candidates ahead of the August 11 vote and June 2 filing deadline. This fragmented opposition and lack of district polling reinforce the current implied probability favoring the Republican nominee in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,843終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from Minnesota's 8th Congressional District's R+7 partisan lean and his 58 percent victory in 2024, which aligns with Donald Trump's 14-point margin there and underpins the Republican Party's 77 percent trader consensus. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Recent developments include Stauber's unanimous endorsement at the Republican nominating convention on April 25 and Democrats' selection of Trina Swanson at their May 2 convention, though the Democratic primary remains crowded with five candidates ahead of the August 11 vote and June 2 filing deadline. This fragmented opposition and lack of district polling reinforce the current implied probability favoring the Republican nominee in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問