Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle commands trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's strong D+10 partisan lean—where Biden won by 32 points in 2020—and Boyle's incumbency advantages including superior fundraising and name recognition against first-time Republican challenger Rick Heckert. All major forecasters, including Cook Political Report and 538, rate it safely Democratic with no recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to suggest shifts. Ahead of the November 5 general election, upset scenarios remain slim but could involve a massive national GOP wave, Boyle scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge in this Philadelphia-area battleground state district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$10,717 Vol.
$10,717 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$10,717 Vol.
$10,717 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
95%
共和党
$10,717 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle commands trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's strong D+10 partisan lean—where Biden won by 32 points in 2020—and Boyle's incumbency advantages including superior fundraising and name recognition against first-time Republican challenger Rick Heckert. All major forecasters, including Cook Political Report and 538, rate it safely Democratic with no recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to suggest shifts. Ahead of the November 5 general election, upset scenarios remain slim but could involve a massive national GOP wave, Boyle scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge in this Philadelphia-area battleground state district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$10,717終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle commands trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's strong D+10 partisan lean—where Biden won by 32 points in 2020—and Boyle's incumbency advantages including superior fundraising and name recognition against first-time Republican challenger Rick Heckert. All major forecasters, including Cook Political Report and 538, rate it safely Democratic with no recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to suggest shifts. Ahead of the November 5 general election, upset scenarios remain slim but could involve a massive national GOP wave, Boyle scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge in this Philadelphia-area battleground state district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,717終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle commands trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's strong D+10 partisan lean—where Biden won by 32 points in 2020—and Boyle's incumbency advantages including superior fundraising and name recognition against first-time Republican challenger Rick Heckert. All major forecasters, including Cook Political Report and 538, rate it safely Democratic with no recent polling or developments in the past 30 days to suggest shifts. Ahead of the November 5 general election, upset scenarios remain slim but could involve a massive national GOP wave, Boyle scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge in this Philadelphia-area battleground state district.
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