Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican nominee Angel Oakley in Illinois’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including Ramirez’s 67.3 percent share in 2024, combined with uncontested March 2026 primaries for both parties, underpins traders’ 93.8 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Incumbency, the absence of primary challenges, and the area’s partisan composition centered in northwestern Chicago and surrounding suburbs reinforce this positioning. A significant national Republican wave, substantial shifts in turnout, or unexpected candidate developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,218 Vol.
$36,218 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$36,218 Vol.
$36,218 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,814 Vol.
94%
共和党
$21,405 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican nominee Angel Oakley in Illinois’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including Ramirez’s 67.3 percent share in 2024, combined with uncontested March 2026 primaries for both parties, underpins traders’ 93.8 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Incumbency, the absence of primary challenges, and the area’s partisan composition centered in northwestern Chicago and surrounding suburbs reinforce this positioning. A significant national Republican wave, substantial shifts in turnout, or unexpected candidate developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$36,218終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican nominee Angel Oakley in Illinois’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including Ramirez’s 67.3 percent share in 2024, combined with uncontested March 2026 primaries for both parties, underpins traders’ 93.8 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Incumbency, the absence of primary challenges, and the area’s partisan composition centered in northwestern Chicago and surrounding suburbs reinforce this positioning. A significant national Republican wave, substantial shifts in turnout, or unexpected candidate developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,218終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican nominee Angel Oakley in Illinois’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including Ramirez’s 67.3 percent share in 2024, combined with uncontested March 2026 primaries for both parties, underpins traders’ 93.8 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Incumbency, the absence of primary challenges, and the area’s partisan composition centered in northwestern Chicago and surrounding suburbs reinforce this positioning. A significant national Republican wave, substantial shifts in turnout, or unexpected candidate developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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