Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+25 Partisan Voting Index, features an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between frontrunner Tom Sell—who led March 3 voting with 40% and a recent April poll 57%-17%—and Abraham Enriquez will determine the nominee facing unopposed Democratic victor Kyle Rable, whose low-turnout primary signals weak opposition in this rural West Texas battleground. Scenarios challenging the GOP hold include a post-runoff scandal for the nominee or an unforeseen Democratic surge amid midterm dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,954 Vol.
93%
民主党
$5,881 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+25 Partisan Voting Index, features an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between frontrunner Tom Sell—who led March 3 voting with 40% and a recent April poll 57%-17%—and Abraham Enriquez will determine the nominee facing unopposed Democratic victor Kyle Rable, whose low-turnout primary signals weak opposition in this rural West Texas battleground. Scenarios challenging the GOP hold include a post-runoff scandal for the nominee or an unforeseen Democratic surge amid midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,835終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+25 Partisan Voting Index, features an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between frontrunner Tom Sell—who led March 3 voting with 40% and a recent April poll 57%-17%—and Abraham Enriquez will determine the nominee facing unopposed Democratic victor Kyle Rable, whose low-turnout primary signals weak opposition in this rural West Texas battleground. Scenarios challenging the GOP hold include a post-runoff scandal for the nominee or an unforeseen Democratic surge amid midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,835終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+25 Partisan Voting Index, features an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between frontrunner Tom Sell—who led March 3 voting with 40% and a recent April poll 57%-17%—and Abraham Enriquez will determine the nominee facing unopposed Democratic victor Kyle Rable, whose low-turnout primary signals weak opposition in this rural West Texas battleground. Scenarios challenging the GOP hold include a post-runoff scandal for the nominee or an unforeseen Democratic surge amid midterm dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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