Texas' 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong Trump margin of 72.5% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat following Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement. The March 3 Republican primary advanced Tom Sell (40%) and Abraham Enriquez to a May 26 runoff, where Sell leads in fundraising with over $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000, while Democrat Kyle Rable secured an uncontested nomination but holds just $8,500. No general election polls exist, but the district's historical GOP dominance—Arrington's 80.7% 2024 win—supports the lopsided odds. Late scandals, a national Democratic wave, or surge in West Texas turnout could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,954 Vol.
93%
民主党
$5,881 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong Trump margin of 72.5% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat following Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement. The March 3 Republican primary advanced Tom Sell (40%) and Abraham Enriquez to a May 26 runoff, where Sell leads in fundraising with over $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000, while Democrat Kyle Rable secured an uncontested nomination but holds just $8,500. No general election polls exist, but the district's historical GOP dominance—Arrington's 80.7% 2024 win—supports the lopsided odds. Late scandals, a national Democratic wave, or surge in West Texas turnout could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,835終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong Trump margin of 72.5% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat following Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement. The March 3 Republican primary advanced Tom Sell (40%) and Abraham Enriquez to a May 26 runoff, where Sell leads in fundraising with over $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000, while Democrat Kyle Rable secured an uncontested nomination but holds just $8,500. No general election polls exist, but the district's historical GOP dominance—Arrington's 80.7% 2024 win—supports the lopsided odds. Late scandals, a national Democratic wave, or surge in West Texas turnout could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,835終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong Trump margin of 72.5% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat following Jodey Arrington's November 2025 retirement announcement. The March 3 Republican primary advanced Tom Sell (40%) and Abraham Enriquez to a May 26 runoff, where Sell leads in fundraising with over $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000, while Democrat Kyle Rable secured an uncontested nomination but holds just $8,500. No general election polls exist, but the district's historical GOP dominance—Arrington's 80.7% 2024 win—supports the lopsided odds. Late scandals, a national Democratic wave, or surge in West Texas turnout could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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