Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay advanced as her party’s nominee. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index, encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding eastern Tennessee areas, has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fleischmann’s 67.5% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple independent candidates appear on the ballot but lack the resources or organization to alter the outcome under current conditions. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at over 90% reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the current map make such reversals improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,273 Vol.
$37,273 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$37,273 Vol.
$37,273 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$20,731 Vol.
95%
民主党
$16,542 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay advanced as her party’s nominee. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index, encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding eastern Tennessee areas, has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fleischmann’s 67.5% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple independent candidates appear on the ballot but lack the resources or organization to alter the outcome under current conditions. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at over 90% reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the current map make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$37,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay advanced as her party’s nominee. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index, encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding eastern Tennessee areas, has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fleischmann’s 67.5% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple independent candidates appear on the ballot but lack the resources or organization to alter the outcome under current conditions. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at over 90% reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the current map make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay advanced as her party’s nominee. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index, encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding eastern Tennessee areas, has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fleischmann’s 67.5% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple independent candidates appear on the ballot but lack the resources or organization to alter the outcome under current conditions. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at over 90% reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the current map make such reversals improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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