Incumbent Republican John James secured a commanding victory in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District House race, capturing approximately 62% of the vote to Democrat Jessica Moffitt's 36% with over 99% of ballots counted as of early November 2024. Pre-election polls and historical district trends favoring Republicans in this R+14 battleground seat drove trader consensus to 91.5% on the GOP outcome, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a race with no viable path for Democrats amid strong turnout and incumbency advantages. Official certification by mid-December remains pending, though scenarios like substantiated fraud claims or recounts—highly improbable given the 25-point margin—could theoretically challenge resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
92%
民主党
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John James secured a commanding victory in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District House race, capturing approximately 62% of the vote to Democrat Jessica Moffitt's 36% with over 99% of ballots counted as of early November 2024. Pre-election polls and historical district trends favoring Republicans in this R+14 battleground seat drove trader consensus to 91.5% on the GOP outcome, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a race with no viable path for Democrats amid strong turnout and incumbency advantages. Official certification by mid-December remains pending, though scenarios like substantiated fraud claims or recounts—highly improbable given the 25-point margin—could theoretically challenge resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John James secured a commanding victory in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District House race, capturing approximately 62% of the vote to Democrat Jessica Moffitt's 36% with over 99% of ballots counted as of early November 2024. Pre-election polls and historical district trends favoring Republicans in this R+14 battleground seat drove trader consensus to 91.5% on the GOP outcome, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a race with no viable path for Democrats amid strong turnout and incumbency advantages. Official certification by mid-December remains pending, though scenarios like substantiated fraud claims or recounts—highly improbable given the 25-point margin—could theoretically challenge resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John James secured a commanding victory in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District House race, capturing approximately 62% of the vote to Democrat Jessica Moffitt's 36% with over 99% of ballots counted as of early November 2024. Pre-election polls and historical district trends favoring Republicans in this R+14 battleground seat drove trader consensus to 91.5% on the GOP outcome, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a race with no viable path for Democrats amid strong turnout and incumbency advantages. Official certification by mid-December remains pending, though scenarios like substantiated fraud claims or recounts—highly improbable given the 25-point margin—could theoretically challenge resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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