Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, placing it among the more reliably Republican seats nationwide, and independent forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4 primary, with the general election set for November 3. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage, limited challenger visibility, and historical voting patterns rather than any single recent event. Shifts could still occur from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen developments between now and Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,903 Vol.
$42,903 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$42,903 Vol.
$42,903 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,645 Vol.
95%
民主党
$21,258 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, placing it among the more reliably Republican seats nationwide, and independent forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4 primary, with the general election set for November 3. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage, limited challenger visibility, and historical voting patterns rather than any single recent event. Shifts could still occur from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen developments between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$42,903終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, placing it among the more reliably Republican seats nationwide, and independent forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4 primary, with the general election set for November 3. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage, limited challenger visibility, and historical voting patterns rather than any single recent event. Shifts could still occur from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen developments between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,903終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, placing it among the more reliably Republican seats nationwide, and independent forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4 primary, with the general election set for November 3. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage, limited challenger visibility, and historical voting patterns rather than any single recent event. Shifts could still occur from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen developments between now and Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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