The district's R+15 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's established position create a strong structural advantage that shapes current trader consensus. Moolenaar faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates compete in their own primary with limited visibility or resources reported. All major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Factors that could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election include an unexpected primary outcome, late health or ethics developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,903 Vol.
$42,903 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$42,903 Vol.
$42,903 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,645 Vol.
95%
民主党
$21,258 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+15 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's established position create a strong structural advantage that shapes current trader consensus. Moolenaar faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates compete in their own primary with limited visibility or resources reported. All major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Factors that could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election include an unexpected primary outcome, late health or ethics developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$42,903終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+15 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's established position create a strong structural advantage that shapes current trader consensus. Moolenaar faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates compete in their own primary with limited visibility or resources reported. All major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Factors that could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election include an unexpected primary outcome, late health or ethics developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,903終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+15 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's established position create a strong structural advantage that shapes current trader consensus. Moolenaar faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates compete in their own primary with limited visibility or resources reported. All major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Factors that could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election include an unexpected primary outcome, late health or ethics developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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