Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, capturing 40.5% against a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 92.5%, reflecting the district's safe Democratic status with a D+18 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 65% for Democrats. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's U.S. Senate bid, saw Miller bolstered by $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary with limited national profile. With the November 3 general election seven months away, odds could shift via scandals, low Democratic turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,402 Vol.
$19,402 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$19,402 Vol.
$19,402 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,143 Vol.
93%
共和党
$11,259 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, capturing 40.5% against a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 92.5%, reflecting the district's safe Democratic status with a D+18 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 65% for Democrats. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's U.S. Senate bid, saw Miller bolstered by $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary with limited national profile. With the November 3 general election seven months away, odds could shift via scandals, low Democratic turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$19,402終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, capturing 40.5% against a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 92.5%, reflecting the district's safe Democratic status with a D+18 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 65% for Democrats. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's U.S. Senate bid, saw Miller bolstered by $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary with limited national profile. With the November 3 general election seven months away, odds could shift via scandals, low Democratic turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,402終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, capturing 40.5% against a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 92.5%, reflecting the district's safe Democratic status with a D+18 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 65% for Democrats. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's U.S. Senate bid, saw Miller bolstered by $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary with limited national profile. With the November 3 general election seven months away, odds could shift via scandals, low Democratic turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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