The 2025 redistricting of North Carolina's congressional map transformed the 6th district into a solidly Republican seat by incorporating conservative-leaning counties such as Davidson, Davie, and Rowan while reducing Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell, who secured 69 percent in 2024 under the prior lines, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from this structural advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson emerged from a competitive March primary but confronts steep headwinds in a district now rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these electoral fundamentals, including historical incumbent re-election rates and the absence of major recent developments that could shift the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,948 Vol.
$15,948 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
18%
$15,948 Vol.
$15,948 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,038 Vol.
81%
民主党
$6,910 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2025 redistricting of North Carolina's congressional map transformed the 6th district into a solidly Republican seat by incorporating conservative-leaning counties such as Davidson, Davie, and Rowan while reducing Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell, who secured 69 percent in 2024 under the prior lines, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from this structural advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson emerged from a competitive March primary but confronts steep headwinds in a district now rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these electoral fundamentals, including historical incumbent re-election rates and the absence of major recent developments that could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$15,948終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2025 redistricting of North Carolina's congressional map transformed the 6th district into a solidly Republican seat by incorporating conservative-leaning counties such as Davidson, Davie, and Rowan while reducing Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell, who secured 69 percent in 2024 under the prior lines, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from this structural advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson emerged from a competitive March primary but confronts steep headwinds in a district now rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these electoral fundamentals, including historical incumbent re-election rates and the absence of major recent developments that could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,948終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2025 redistricting of North Carolina's congressional map transformed the 6th district into a solidly Republican seat by incorporating conservative-leaning counties such as Davidson, Davie, and Rowan while reducing Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Republican Addison McDowell, who secured 69 percent in 2024 under the prior lines, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from this structural advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson emerged from a competitive March primary but confronts steep headwinds in a district now rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these electoral fundamentals, including historical incumbent re-election rates and the absence of major recent developments that could shift the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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